Liverpool at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Liverpool

65.1%20.2%14.8%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.05Projected Goals 0.86
2Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-500
T 1-1 at Chelsea+120
T 4-4 at Southampton-210
T 1-1 vs Aston Villa-205
W 3-0 at Leicester City-155
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 0-1 at Manchester City+340
W 1-5 vs Aston Villa-155
T 1-1 at Chelsea+140
T 0-0 vs Leicester City-320
W 1-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+190+207+200+208+204+208+208+218.6
Newcastle Utd+125+120+120+120+121+120+121+127.6
Draw+285+284+285+292+284+292+292+305.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+210-+202-+195+210+210+218.6
Newcastle Utd+115-+118--105+120+120+127.6
Draw+280-+281-+260+265+281+305.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 60.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +205 to +195
No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 60.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +210 to +200
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3-131o3-122o3-117o3¼+101o3-117o3-117o3-108
Underu3¼-118u3+111u3+102u3+101u3¼-115u3+101u3¼-115u3+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-135o3-118-o3-135o3-140o3-118o3-108
Underu3+115u3+115u3-102-u3+105u3+120u3+120u3+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-135
The Under moved from u3+120 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.44%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 64.60%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.85%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.48%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 012.85%
Exactly 126.36%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.50%
Exactly 49.49%
Exactly 53.90%
Exactly 61.33%
Exactly 70.39%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 042.38%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.62%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.99%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 038.67%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 067.20%
Exactly 126.71%
Exactly 25.31%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals40.66%
Wins by 3+ goals20.80%
Wins by 4+ goals8.83%
Wins by 5+ goals3.17%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals4.53%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.37%
Wins by 2 goals19.86%
Wins by 3 goals11.97%
Wins by 4 goals5.67%
Wins by 5 goals2.20%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal10.19%
Wins by 2 goals3.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.56%5.44%
1.578.71%21.29%
2.555.65%44.35%
3.533.28%66.72%
4.517.00%83.00%
5.57.52%92.48%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.15%12.85%
1.560.79%39.21%
2.533.74%66.26%
3.515.24%84.76%
4.55.75%94.25%
5.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.62%42.38%
1.521.24%78.76%
2.55.62%94.38%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.01%25.99%
1.539.00%61.00%
2.515.40%84.60%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
5.44%
4.67%
2.01%
0.57%
0.12%
1
11.17%
9.59%
4.12%
1.18%
0.25%
2
11.46%
9.84%
4.22%
1.21%
0.26%
3
7.84%
6.73%
2.89%
0.83%
0.18%
4
4.02%
3.45%
1.48%
0.42%
0.09%
5
1.65%
1.42%
0.61%
0.17%
0.04%
Liverpool
1-011.17%
2-011.46%
2-19.84%
3-07.84%
3-16.73%
3-22.89%
4-04.02%
4-13.45%
4-21.48%
4-30.42%
5-01.65%
5-11.42%
5-20.61%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.44%
1-19.59%
2-24.22%
3-30.83%
Newcastle United
0-14.67%
0-22.01%
1-24.12%
0-30.57%
1-31.18%
2-31.21%
0-40.12%
1-40.25%
2-40.26%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
25.99%
10.33%
2.05%
0.27%
1
24.69%
9.81%
1.95%
0.26%
2
11.73%
4.66%
0.93%
0.12%
3
3.71%
1.48%
0.29%
0.04%
4
0.88%
0.35%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-024.69%
2-011.73%
2-14.66%
3-03.71%
3-11.48%
3-20.29%
4-00.88%
4-10.35%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-025.99%
1-19.81%
2-20.93%
Newcastle United
0-110.33%
0-22.05%
1-21.95%
0-30.27%
1-30.26%
2-30.12%