Brighton at Aston Villa

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

25.2%25.5%49.3%
Brighton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.55
1Final Score 6

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-208
W 3-1 at Manchester United+240
W 1-3 vs Newcastle United+155
L 3-1 vs West Ham United-200
W 4-1 at Wolverhampton-120
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chelsea+310
W 1-3 vs Crystal Palace-115
L 0-3 at Liverpool+420
W 3-1 at Burnley+120
W 0-4 vs Everton-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+163+169+170+172+172+172+172+181.6
Aston Villa+145+150+145+153+153+153+153+162.0
Draw+305+273+270+267+267+267+273+280.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+160-+167-+135+160+167+181.6
Aston Villa+145-+144-+135+150+150+162.0
Draw+285-+273-+260+275+275+280.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +160 to +152
Aston Villa ML moved from +153 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +158 to +151
Aston Villa ML moved from +155 to +142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-111o3-142o3¼-105o3¼+101o3¼+101o3¼+101o3¼+101o3¼+108
Underu3¼-105u3+120u3¼-115u3¼-117u3¼-117u3¼-117u3+120u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½+105o3-135-o3½+100o3½+115o3-135o3¼+108
Underu3½-125u3½-125u3+115-u3½-130u3½-135u3½-125u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.62%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 413.94%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.62%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 57.18%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 035.74%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 021.33%
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 313.11%
Exactly 45.07%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.37%
Exactly 221.57%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 062.11%
Exactly 129.58%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 048.90%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals9.20%
Wins by 3+ goals2.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals25.18%
Wins by 3+ goals10.19%
Wins by 4+ goals3.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal15.96%
Wins by 2 goals6.64%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals14.99%
Wins by 3 goals6.87%
Wins by 4 goals2.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.38%7.62%
1.572.76%27.24%
2.547.50%52.50%
3.525.84%74.16%
4.511.89%88.11%
5.54.72%95.28%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.26%35.74%
1.527.48%72.52%
2.58.57%91.43%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.67%21.33%
1.545.72%54.28%
2.520.26%79.74%
3.57.14%92.86%
4.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.63%30.37%
1.533.44%66.56%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.31%96.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.62%
11.78%
9.10%
4.69%
1.81%
0.56%
1
7.84%
12.12%
9.36%
4.82%
1.86%
0.58%
2
4.03%
6.23%
4.82%
2.48%
0.96%
0.30%
3
1.38%
2.14%
1.65%
0.85%
0.33%
0.10%
4
0.36%
0.55%
0.42%
0.22%
0.08%
0.03%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-07.84%
2-04.03%
2-16.23%
3-01.38%
3-12.14%
3-21.65%
4-00.36%
4-10.55%
4-20.42%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.62%
1-112.12%
2-24.82%
3-30.85%
Aston Villa
0-111.78%
0-29.10%
1-29.36%
0-34.69%
1-34.82%
2-32.48%
0-41.81%
1-41.86%
2-40.96%
3-40.33%
0-50.56%
1-50.58%
2-50.30%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
30.37%
21.73%
7.77%
1.85%
0.33%
1
14.47%
10.35%
3.70%
0.88%
0.16%
2
3.45%
2.46%
0.88%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.55%
0.39%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-014.47%
2-03.45%
2-12.46%
3-00.55%
3-10.39%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.37%
1-110.35%
2-20.88%
Aston Villa
0-121.73%
0-27.77%
1-23.70%
0-31.85%
1-30.88%
2-30.21%
0-40.33%
1-40.16%