Aston Villa at Chelsea

Updated

Aston Villa

14.9%20.3%64.8%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.04
1Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Crystal Palace-115
L 0-3 at Liverpool+420
W 3-1 at Burnley+120
W 0-4 vs Everton-115
L 1-5 at Newcastle United+410
Chelsea
Money Line
T 0-0 at Bournemouth-120
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest-250
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-412
L 1-3 at West Ham United+119
T 1-1 vs Liverpool+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+329+302+310+305+305+305+305+319.1
Chelsea-119-114-120-114-114-114-114-106.1
Draw+281+286+290+292+292+292+292+305.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+290-+310-+300+310+310+319.1
Chelsea-110--120--155-120-120-106.1
Draw+270-+280-+270+280+280+305.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +300 to +290
Chelsea ML moved from -107 to -114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +295 to +265
Chelsea ML moved from -125 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+114o3+118o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-103
Underu3-134u3-140u2¾-108u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+120o2½-140-o3+110o3+110o2½-140o2¾-103
Underu2½+125u3-140u2½+120-u3-140u3-130u3-130u2¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.53%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 416.19%
Exactly 64.53%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 116.00%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.38%
Exactly 71.87%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 042.43%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.59%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 013.02%
Exactly 126.55%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.38%
Exactly 49.37%
Exactly 53.82%
Exactly 61.30%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.17%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 43.52%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 310.51%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 067.24%
Exactly 126.69%
Exactly 25.30%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 038.91%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.33%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals4.57%
Wins by 3+ goals1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals40.26%
Wins by 3+ goals20.45%
Wins by 4+ goals8.58%
Wins by 5+ goals3.00%
Wins by 6+ goals0.85%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal10.27%
Wins by 2 goals3.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.43%
Wins by 2 goals19.81%
Wins by 3 goals11.87%
Wins by 4 goals5.58%
Wins by 5 goals2.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.69%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.47%5.53%
1.578.47%21.53%
2.555.31%44.69%
3.532.94%67.06%
4.516.75%83.25%
5.57.38%92.62%
6.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.57%42.43%
1.521.19%78.81%
2.55.60%94.40%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.98%13.02%
1.560.43%39.57%
2.533.37%66.63%
3.514.99%85.01%
4.55.62%94.38%
5.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.83%26.17%
1.538.75%61.25%
2.515.24%84.76%
3.54.73%95.27%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Chelsea
Score012345
0
5.53%
11.26%
11.48%
7.80%
3.98%
1.62%
1
4.74%
9.66%
9.84%
6.69%
3.41%
1.39%
2
2.03%
4.14%
4.22%
2.87%
1.46%
0.60%
3
0.58%
1.18%
1.21%
0.82%
0.42%
0.17%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.26%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Aston Villa
1-04.74%
2-02.03%
2-14.14%
3-00.58%
3-11.18%
3-21.21%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.26%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.53%
1-19.66%
2-24.22%
3-30.82%
Chelsea
0-111.26%
0-211.48%
1-29.84%
0-37.80%
1-36.69%
2-32.87%
0-43.98%
1-43.41%
2-41.46%
3-40.42%
0-51.62%
1-51.39%
2-50.60%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Chelsea
Score012345
0
26.17%
24.70%
11.65%
3.67%
0.87%
0.16%
1
10.39%
9.80%
4.63%
1.46%
0.34%
0.06%
2
2.06%
1.95%
0.92%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-010.39%
2-02.06%
2-11.95%
3-00.27%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.17%
1-19.80%
2-20.92%
Chelsea
0-124.70%
0-211.65%
1-24.63%
0-33.67%
1-31.46%
2-30.29%
0-40.87%
1-40.34%
0-50.16%