Crystal Palace at Aston Villa

Updated

Crystal Palace

30.1%27.4%42.5%
Crystal Palace WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Wolverhampton-115
T 1-1 at Brentford+260
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+365
W 1-0 at Sheffield United+120
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest-155
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-3 at Liverpool+420
W 3-1 at Burnley+120
W 0-4 vs Everton-115
L 1-5 at Newcastle United+410
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+300+299+280+310+310+310+310+324.6
Aston Villa-110-107-105-108-108-108-105-100.6
Draw+270+267+265+267+267+267+267+280.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+295-+310-+285+305+310+324.6
Aston Villa-110--115--135-115-115-100.6
Draw+265-+265-+240+270+270+280.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +309 to +299
Aston Villa ML moved from -116 to -122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +325 to +305
Aston Villa ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-118o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-104
Underu2½-112u2½+100u2½-108u2½-104u2½-104u2½-104u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-115-o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½-105-u2½-110u2½-105u2½+100u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.13%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.49%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.86%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 55.98%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 034.33%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 026.60%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 310.30%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.02%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 060.96%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 054.16%
Exactly 133.21%
Exactly 210.18%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals11.51%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals19.49%
Wins by 3+ goals6.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal18.51%
Wins by 2 goals8.16%
Wins by 3 goals2.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.52%
Wins by 3 goals4.98%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.87%9.13%
1.569.01%30.99%
2.542.86%57.14%
3.521.99%78.01%
4.59.50%90.50%
5.53.53%96.47%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.67%34.33%
1.528.96%71.04%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.40%26.60%
1.538.18%61.82%
2.514.85%85.15%
3.54.56%95.44%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.98%33.02%
1.530.39%69.61%
2.510.12%89.88%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
9.13%
12.09%
8.01%
3.54%
1.17%
0.31%
1
9.76%
12.93%
8.56%
3.78%
1.25%
0.33%
2
5.22%
6.91%
4.58%
2.02%
0.67%
0.18%
3
1.86%
2.46%
1.63%
0.72%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.50%
0.66%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Crystal Palace
1-09.76%
2-05.22%
2-16.91%
3-01.86%
3-12.46%
3-21.63%
4-00.50%
4-10.66%
4-20.44%
4-30.19%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.13%
1-112.93%
2-24.58%
3-30.72%
Aston Villa
0-112.09%
0-28.01%
1-28.56%
0-33.54%
1-33.78%
2-32.02%
0-41.17%
1-41.25%
2-40.67%
3-40.24%
0-50.31%
1-50.33%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
33.02%
20.25%
6.21%
1.27%
0.19%
1
16.34%
10.02%
3.07%
0.63%
0.10%
2
4.04%
2.48%
0.76%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.67%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Crystal Palace
1-016.34%
2-04.04%
2-12.48%
3-00.67%
3-10.41%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.02%
1-110.02%
2-20.76%
Aston Villa
0-120.25%
0-26.21%
1-23.07%
0-31.27%
1-30.63%
2-30.16%
0-40.19%