Newcastle Utd at Brighton

Updated

Newcastle United

21.4%24.2%54.4%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBrighton Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.69
1Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+120
L 0-1 at Manchester City+340
W 1-5 vs Aston Villa-155
T 1-1 at Chelsea+140
T 0-0 vs Leicester City-320
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 3-1 vs West Ham United-200
W 4-1 at Wolverhampton-120
W 1-4 vs Luton Town-360
L 1-2 at Aston Villa+275
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+160+151+150+155+155+155+155+164.0
Brighton+155+162+155+160+160+160+162+169.1
Draw+270+285+285+287+287+287+287+300.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+150-+167-+130+155+155+164.0
Brighton+160-+139-+140+155+155+169.1
Draw+275-+285-+265+275+285+300.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +166 to +160
Brighton ML moved from +148 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +165 to +155
Brighton ML moved from +145 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-138o3¼-105o3¼-104o3¼-104o3¼-104o3¼-104o3¼+104
Underu3+100u3+116u3¼-115u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-145o3-137-o3-145o3½+115o3-137o3¼+104
Underu3+115u3+125u3+117-u3+115u3½-135u3½-135u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.78%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 038.30%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.64%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 018.54%
Exactly 131.24%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 314.79%
Exactly 46.23%
Exactly 52.10%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 064.12%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 045.83%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 213.95%
Exactly 33.63%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals7.35%
Wins by 3+ goals1.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals29.76%
Wins by 3+ goals13.01%
Wins by 4+ goals4.65%
Wins by 5+ goals1.38%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal14.03%
Wins by 2 goals5.43%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal24.63%
Wins by 2 goals16.75%
Wins by 3 goals8.36%
Wins by 4 goals3.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.05%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.12%25.88%
2.549.28%50.72%
3.527.38%72.62%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.70%38.30%
1.524.94%75.06%
2.57.30%92.70%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.46%18.54%
1.550.22%49.78%
2.523.89%76.11%
3.59.10%90.90%
4.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.63%65.37%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
7.10%
11.97%
10.08%
5.66%
2.39%
0.80%
1
6.81%
11.48%
9.68%
5.44%
2.29%
0.77%
2
3.27%
5.51%
4.64%
2.61%
1.10%
0.37%
3
1.05%
1.76%
1.49%
0.83%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.25%
0.42%
0.36%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
Newcastle United
1-06.81%
2-03.27%
2-15.51%
3-01.05%
3-11.76%
3-21.49%
4-00.25%
4-10.42%
4-20.36%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.10%
1-111.48%
2-24.64%
3-30.83%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.97%
0-210.08%
1-29.68%
0-35.66%
1-35.44%
2-32.61%
0-42.39%
1-42.29%
2-41.10%
3-40.35%
0-50.80%
1-50.77%
2-50.37%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
29.39%
22.93%
8.95%
2.33%
0.45%
1
13.06%
10.19%
3.98%
1.03%
0.20%
2
2.90%
2.26%
0.88%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.43%
0.34%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-013.06%
2-02.90%
2-12.26%
3-00.43%
3-10.34%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-029.39%
1-110.19%
2-20.88%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-122.93%
0-28.95%
1-23.98%
0-32.33%
1-31.03%
2-30.23%
0-40.45%
1-40.20%