Aston Villa at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Aston Villa

50.0%25.8%24.2%
Aston Villa WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
1.52Projected Goals 0.98
0Final Score 2

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Luton Town-313
W 1-4 vs West Ham United-125
T 1-1 at Wolverhampton+100
W 1-6 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+150
W 1-0 at Chelsea+310
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
L 0-3 at Liverpool+1050
T 2-2 vs Luton Town-135
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+245
T 1-1 vs Brentford+168
L 0-2 at Manchester City+1600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+102-108-110-105-108-108-108-100.6
Nott'ham Forest+272+292+270+295+295+295+295+309.0
Draw+263+278+285+270+280+280+285+293.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-115--110--150-110-110-100.6
Nott'ham Forest+300-+287-+300+280+300+309.0
Draw+265-+270-+260+275+275+293.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -101
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +285 to +275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -110
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +300 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o3+116o2¾-110o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾+100
Underu2½+114u3-138u2¾-110u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-108u3-138u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-130o2½-138-o2½-130o2½-140o2½-130o2¾+100
Underu2½+115u2½+110u2½+118-u2½+100u2½+120u2½+120u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.20%
Exactly 225.64%
Exactly 413.37%
Exactly 62.79%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.50%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.69%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 021.75%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 312.87%
Exactly 44.91%
Exactly 51.50%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 037.68%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.95%
Exactly 35.84%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.40%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.13%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 049.35%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 212.31%
Exactly 32.90%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 063.64%
Exactly 128.76%
Exactly 26.50%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals25.50%
Wins by 3+ goals10.26%
Wins by 4+ goals3.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals8.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.43%
Wins by 2 goals15.24%
Wins by 3 goals6.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal15.63%
Wins by 2 goals6.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.80%8.20%
1.571.30%28.70%
2.545.66%54.34%
3.524.28%75.72%
4.510.90%89.10%
5.54.21%95.79%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.25%21.75%
1.545.06%54.94%
2.519.76%80.24%
3.56.89%93.11%
4.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.32%37.68%
1.525.55%74.45%
2.57.60%92.40%
3.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.60%31.40%
1.532.22%67.78%
2.511.16%88.84%
3.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
8.20%
8.00%
3.90%
1.27%
0.31%
1
12.50%
12.20%
5.96%
1.94%
0.47%
2
9.54%
9.31%
4.54%
1.48%
0.36%
3
4.85%
4.73%
2.31%
0.75%
0.18%
4
1.85%
1.80%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.56%
0.55%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Aston Villa
1-012.50%
2-09.54%
2-19.31%
3-04.85%
3-14.73%
3-22.31%
4-01.85%
4-11.80%
4-20.88%
4-30.29%
5-00.56%
5-10.55%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-08.20%
1-112.20%
2-24.54%
3-30.75%
Nottingham Forest
0-18.00%
0-23.90%
1-25.96%
0-31.27%
1-31.94%
2-31.48%
0-40.31%
1-40.47%
2-40.36%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
31.40%
14.19%
3.21%
0.48%
1
22.18%
10.02%
2.27%
0.34%
2
7.83%
3.54%
0.80%
0.12%
3
1.84%
0.83%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-022.18%
2-07.83%
2-13.54%
3-01.84%
3-10.83%
3-20.19%
4-00.33%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-031.40%
1-110.02%
2-20.80%
Nottingham Forest
0-114.19%
0-23.21%
1-22.27%
0-30.48%
1-30.34%
2-30.12%