Liverpool at Luton Town

Updated

Liverpool

83.4%11.3%5.2%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.86Projected Goals 0.60
1Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Nottingham Forest-450
W 0-2 vs Everton-260
T 2-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+110
L 1-2 at Tottenham+125
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-285
Luton Town
Money Line
L 1-3 at Aston Villa+775
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+415
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+685
L 2-1 vs Burnley+190
W 2-1 at Everton+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-322-503-480-510-520-530-480-420.0
Luton Town+848+1216+1000+1250+1250+1300+1250+1297.4
Draw+483+671+650+700+700+715+700+728.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-420--520---550-520-420.0
Luton Town+950-+1075--+1250+1250+1297.4
Draw+545-+680--+675+680+728.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -477 to -504
Luton Town ML moved from +1228 to +1216

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -525 to -550
Luton Town ML moved from +1400 to +1125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-101o3½-109o3½-112o3½-106o3½-106o3½-106o3½-106o3½+102
Underu3½-117u3½-109u3½-108u3½-110u3½-110u3½-110u3½-108u3½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-120o3½-110-o3½-120o3½-115o3½-110o3½+102
Underu3½-115u3½+100u3½-110-u3½-110u3½-105u3½+100u3½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.13%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 418.78%
Exactly 67.51%
Exactly 81.61%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.85%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 513.00%
Exactly 73.71%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 05.72%
Exactly 116.36%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.97%
Exactly 59.14%
Exactly 64.36%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 054.80%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 29.91%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.12%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 313.82%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 026.58%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 310.30%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 075.70%
Exactly 121.08%
Exactly 22.93%
Exactly 30.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals64.12%
Wins by 3+ goals42.15%
Wins by 4+ goals23.65%
Wins by 5+ goals11.41%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals1.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal19.24%
Wins by 2 goals21.97%
Wins by 3 goals18.50%
Wins by 4 goals12.24%
Wins by 5 goals6.64%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal4.04%
Wins by 2 goals0.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.87%3.13%
1.586.01%13.99%
2.567.22%32.78%
3.545.53%54.47%
4.526.76%73.24%
5.513.75%86.25%
6.56.25%93.75%
7.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.28%5.72%
1.577.92%22.08%
2.554.51%45.49%
3.532.17%67.83%
4.516.20%83.80%
5.57.06%92.94%
6.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.20%54.80%
1.512.24%87.76%
2.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.88%20.12%
1.547.61%52.39%
2.521.75%78.25%
3.57.93%92.07%
4.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Luton Town
Score0123
0
3.13%
1.88%
0.57%
0.11%
1
8.97%
5.39%
1.62%
0.33%
2
12.83%
7.72%
2.32%
0.47%
3
12.24%
7.36%
2.21%
0.44%
4
8.75%
5.26%
1.58%
0.32%
5
5.01%
3.01%
0.91%
0.18%
Liverpool
1-08.97%
2-012.83%
2-17.72%
3-012.24%
3-17.36%
3-22.21%
4-08.75%
4-15.26%
4-21.58%
4-30.32%
5-05.01%
5-13.01%
5-20.91%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-03.13%
1-15.39%
2-22.32%
3-30.44%
Luton Town
0-11.88%
0-20.57%
1-21.62%
0-30.11%
1-30.33%
2-30.47%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Luton Town
Score012
0
20.12%
5.60%
0.78%
1
26.66%
7.42%
1.03%
2
17.66%
4.92%
0.68%
3
7.80%
2.17%
0.30%
4
2.58%
0.72%
0.10%
5
0.68%
0.19%
0.03%
6
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-026.66%
2-017.66%
2-14.92%
3-07.80%
3-12.17%
3-20.30%
4-02.58%
4-10.72%
4-20.10%
5-00.68%
5-10.19%
6-00.15%
Draw
0-020.12%
1-17.42%
2-20.68%
Luton Town
0-15.60%
0-20.78%
1-21.03%