Burnley at Luton Town

Updated

Burnley

45.8%27.4%26.7%
Burnley WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.36Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 0-2 at Newcastle United+730
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+321
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+265
L 5-2 vs Tottenham+260
L 3-1 vs Aston Villa+221
Luton Town
Money Line
W 2-1 at Everton+475
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton+230
L 0-1 at Fulham+461
L 2-1 vs West Ham United+375
L 0-3 at Chelsea+1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+155+160+155+166+166+166+166+175.5
Luton Town+188+195+190+192+192+192+195+202.5
Draw+232+216+220+215+215+215+220+226.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+140-+163-+140+160+163+175.5
Luton Town+160-+185-+160+190+190+202.5
Draw+205-+216-+205+210+216+226.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Luton Town ML moved from +200 to +192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +164 to +155
Luton Town ML moved from +195 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2-146o2¼-105o2¼-101o2¼-101o2¼-101o2-146o2¼+106
Underu2½-127u2+124u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+125o2½+128-o2½+120o2-150o2-150o2¼+106
Underu2½-130u2½-145u2½-148-u2½-150u2+130u2½-145u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.68%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 411.99%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.61%
Exactly 320.54%
Exactly 55.60%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 025.59%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 037.84%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.87%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.93%
Exactly 219.82%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.14%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 053.20%
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 210.59%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 063.77%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 26.45%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals21.67%
Wins by 3+ goals7.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals9.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals13.68%
Wins by 3 goals5.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal17.18%
Wins by 2 goals6.95%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.32%9.68%
1.567.71%32.29%
2.541.31%58.69%
3.520.77%79.23%
4.58.79%91.21%
5.53.19%96.81%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.41%25.59%
1.539.53%60.47%
2.515.76%84.24%
3.54.96%95.04%
4.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.16%37.84%
1.525.38%74.62%
2.57.52%92.48%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.07%33.93%
1.529.40%70.60%
2.59.58%90.42%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Luton Town
Score01234
0
9.68%
9.41%
4.57%
1.48%
0.36%
1
13.20%
12.83%
6.23%
2.02%
0.49%
2
9.00%
8.74%
4.25%
1.38%
0.33%
3
4.09%
3.97%
1.93%
0.62%
0.15%
4
1.39%
1.35%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.38%
0.37%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
Burnley
1-013.20%
2-09.00%
2-18.74%
3-04.09%
3-13.97%
3-21.93%
4-01.39%
4-11.35%
4-20.66%
4-30.21%
5-00.38%
5-10.37%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-09.68%
1-112.83%
2-24.25%
3-30.62%
Luton Town
0-19.41%
0-24.57%
1-26.23%
0-31.48%
1-32.02%
2-31.38%
0-40.36%
1-40.49%
2-40.33%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Luton Town
Score0123
0
33.93%
15.26%
3.43%
0.51%
1
21.41%
9.63%
2.17%
0.32%
2
6.76%
3.04%
0.68%
0.10%
3
1.42%
0.64%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.22%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-021.41%
2-06.76%
2-13.04%
3-01.42%
3-10.64%
3-20.14%
4-00.22%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-033.93%
1-19.63%
2-20.68%
Luton Town
0-115.26%
0-23.43%
1-22.17%
0-30.51%
1-30.32%
2-30.10%