Liverpool at Brighton

Updated

Liverpool

58.9%22.4%18.6%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
1.85Projected Goals 0.94
2Final Score 2

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 1-2 at Tottenham+125
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-285
W 3-1 at Wolverhampton-165
W 0-3 vs Aston Villa-170
W 2-1 at Newcastle United+210
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 1-6 at Aston Villa+167
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-208
W 3-1 at Manchester United+240
W 1-3 vs Newcastle United+155
L 3-1 vs West Ham United-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+130+103+100+110+110+110+110+117.3
Brighton+175+227+215+220+220+220+227+231.2
Draw+300+315+320+306+306+306+320+320.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+115-+110--115+105+110+117.3
Brighton+210-+206-+195+225+225+231.2
Draw+280-+300-+295+290+300+320.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 40.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +100 to -105
Brighton ML moved from +234 to +227

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 40.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +110 to +100
Brighton ML moved from +230 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112o3½-128o3¾-102o3½-121o3½-121o3½-121o3½-121o3½-112
Underu3½-108u3½+108u3¾-118u3½+105u3½+105u3½+105u3¾-118u3½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-125o3½-125-o3½-125o3½-120o3½-120o3½-112
Underu3½-105u3½+105u3½+105-u3½-105u3½+100u3½+105u3½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.15%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 415.50%
Exactly 64.02%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.15%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.64%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 015.68%
Exactly 129.05%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.62%
Exactly 47.70%
Exactly 52.85%
Exactly 60.88%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 039.23%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.18%
Exactly 35.36%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.50%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.86%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 042.41%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.60%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 064.84%
Exactly 128.09%
Exactly 26.09%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals34.27%
Wins by 3+ goals16.12%
Wins by 4+ goals6.24%
Wins by 5+ goals2.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals6.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.58%
Wins by 2 goals18.14%
Wins by 3 goals9.89%
Wins by 4 goals4.23%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal12.42%
Wins by 2 goals4.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.85%6.15%
1.576.70%23.30%
2.552.78%47.22%
3.530.55%69.45%
4.515.05%84.95%
5.56.41%93.59%
6.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.32%15.68%
1.555.27%44.73%
2.528.35%71.65%
3.511.73%88.27%
4.54.03%95.97%
5.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.77%39.23%
1.524.07%75.93%
2.56.89%93.11%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.50%27.50%
1.537.00%63.00%
2.514.08%85.92%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
6.15%
5.76%
2.69%
0.84%
0.20%
1
11.40%
10.67%
4.99%
1.56%
0.36%
2
10.56%
9.88%
4.62%
1.44%
0.34%
3
6.52%
6.10%
2.85%
0.89%
0.21%
4
3.02%
2.83%
1.32%
0.41%
0.10%
5
1.12%
1.05%
0.49%
0.15%
0.04%
Liverpool
1-011.40%
2-010.56%
2-19.88%
3-06.52%
3-16.10%
3-22.85%
4-03.02%
4-12.83%
4-21.32%
4-30.41%
5-01.12%
5-11.05%
5-20.49%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.15%
1-110.67%
2-24.62%
3-30.89%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-15.76%
0-22.69%
1-24.99%
0-30.84%
1-31.56%
2-31.44%
0-40.20%
1-40.36%
2-40.34%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
27.50%
11.91%
2.58%
0.37%
1
23.59%
10.22%
2.21%
0.32%
2
10.12%
4.38%
0.95%
0.14%
3
2.89%
1.25%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.62%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-023.59%
2-010.12%
2-14.38%
3-02.89%
3-11.25%
3-20.27%
4-00.62%
4-10.27%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-027.50%
1-110.22%
2-20.95%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.91%
0-22.58%
1-22.21%
0-30.37%
1-30.32%
2-30.14%