Luton Town at Aston Villa

Updated

Luton Town

7.3%14.0%78.7%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.59
1Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+415
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+685
L 2-1 vs Burnley+190
W 2-1 at Everton+475
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton+230
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-4 vs West Ham United-125
T 1-1 at Wolverhampton+100
W 1-6 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+150
W 1-0 at Chelsea+310
W 1-3 vs Crystal Palace-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+984+731+625+775+775+775+775+805.5
Aston Villa-360-286-280-290-290-290-280-255.3
Draw+506+459+460+465+465+465+465+484.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+900-+725--+775+775+805.5
Aston Villa-395--313---330-313-255.3
Draw+525-+475--+490+490+484.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +650 to +625
Aston Villa ML moved from -305 to -315

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +801 to +725
Aston Villa ML moved from -420 to -460

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-128o3½+116o3¼-110o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼+105
Underu3+108u3½-138u3¼-110u3¼-114u3¼-114u3¼-114u3½-138u3¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3½+110o3½+115-o3½+105o3-135o3-135o3¼+105
Underu3+110u3½-130u3½-135-u3½-135u3+115u3½-130u3¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.88%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 418.02%
Exactly 66.34%
Exactly 81.19%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.61%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 511.71%
Exactly 72.94%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 051.53%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 211.33%
Exactly 32.50%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 07.53%
Exactly 119.48%
Exactly 225.19%
Exactly 321.71%
Exactly 414.03%
Exactly 57.26%
Exactly 63.13%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.22%
Exactly 225.14%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.42%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 073.57%
Exactly 122.58%
Exactly 23.47%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 030.21%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.64%
Exactly 38.64%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals1.75%
Wins by 3+ goals0.30%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals57.18%
Wins by 3+ goals35.00%
Wins by 4+ goals18.11%
Wins by 5+ goals8.02%
Wins by 6+ goals3.07%
Wins by 7+ goals1.02%
Wins by 8+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal5.50%
Wins by 2 goals1.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals22.18%
Wins by 3 goals16.89%
Wins by 4 goals10.09%
Wins by 5 goals4.95%
Wins by 6 goals2.05%
Wins by 7 goals0.73%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.12%3.88%
1.583.50%16.50%
2.563.02%36.98%
3.540.83%59.17%
4.522.81%77.19%
5.511.10%88.90%
6.54.76%95.24%
7.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.47%51.53%
1.514.31%85.69%
2.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.47%7.53%
1.572.98%27.02%
2.547.80%52.20%
3.526.09%73.91%
4.512.06%87.94%
5.54.80%95.20%
6.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.78%22.22%
1.544.36%55.64%
2.519.22%80.78%
3.56.62%93.38%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
3.88%
10.04%
12.98%
11.19%
7.23%
3.74%
1
2.57%
6.66%
8.61%
7.42%
4.79%
2.48%
2
0.85%
2.21%
2.85%
2.46%
1.59%
0.82%
3
0.19%
0.49%
0.63%
0.54%
0.35%
0.18%
Luton Town
1-02.57%
2-00.85%
2-12.21%
3-00.19%
3-10.49%
3-20.63%
Draw
0-03.88%
1-16.66%
2-22.85%
3-30.54%
Aston Villa
0-110.04%
0-212.98%
1-28.61%
0-311.19%
1-37.42%
2-32.46%
0-47.23%
1-44.79%
2-41.59%
3-40.35%
0-53.74%
1-52.48%
2-50.82%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
22.22%
26.60%
15.92%
6.35%
1.90%
0.46%
1
6.82%
8.17%
4.89%
1.95%
0.58%
0.14%
2
1.05%
1.25%
0.75%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-06.82%
2-01.05%
2-11.25%
3-00.11%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-022.22%
1-18.17%
2-20.75%
Aston Villa
0-126.60%
0-215.92%
1-24.89%
0-36.35%
1-31.95%
2-30.30%
0-41.90%
1-40.58%
0-50.46%
1-50.14%