Fulham at Aston Villa

Updated

Fulham

17.8%22.0%60.2%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.89
1Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Fulham
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+210
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+450
L 0-2 at Tottenham+560
W 1-3 vs Sheffield United-195
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+260
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-2 at Nottingham Forest-110
W 1-3 vs Luton Town-313
W 1-4 vs West Ham United-125
T 1-1 at Wolverhampton+100
W 1-6 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fulham+466+410+400+425+425+425+425+443.7
Aston Villa-170-149-160-150-150-150-149-137.7
Draw+327+308+330+308+308+308+330+322.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fulham+445-+440-+400+425+440+443.7
Aston Villa-170--165--205-160-160-137.7
Draw+320-+308-+290+310+310+322.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fulham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fulham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fulham ML moved from +438 to +425
Aston Villa ML moved from -155 to -162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fulham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fulham ML moved from +485 to +440
Aston Villa ML moved from -200 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3+115o2¾-122o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾+102
Underu3-126u3-137u2¾+102u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+102u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o2½-140o2½-138-o2½-145o2½-140o2½-138o2¾+102
Underu3-110u2½+120u2½+118-u2½+115u2½+120u2½+120u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-145
The Under moved from u3+115 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.01%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 415.65%
Exactly 64.12%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.90%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 58.80%
Exactly 71.66%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Fulham
Exactly 039.89%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 015.07%
Exactly 128.52%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.02%
Exactly 48.05%
Exactly 53.05%
Exactly 60.96%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.21%
Exactly 223.05%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 310.00%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fulham
Exactly 065.35%
Exactly 127.80%
Exactly 25.91%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 041.63%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.98%
Exactly 34.67%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fulham
Wins by 2+ goals5.81%
Wins by 3+ goals1.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals35.55%
Wins by 3+ goals17.01%
Wins by 4+ goals6.70%
Wins by 5+ goals2.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Fulham
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fulham
Wins by 1 goal11.94%
Wins by 2 goals4.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals18.53%
Wins by 3 goals10.31%
Wins by 4 goals4.51%
Wins by 5 goals1.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.99%6.01%
1.577.09%22.91%
2.553.33%46.67%
3.531.06%68.94%
4.515.41%84.59%
5.56.61%93.39%
6.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Fulham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.11%39.89%
1.523.45%76.55%
2.56.60%93.40%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.93%15.07%
1.556.41%43.59%
2.529.43%70.57%
3.512.40%87.60%
4.54.35%95.65%
5.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.79%27.21%
1.537.38%62.62%
2.514.33%85.67%
3.54.33%95.67%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fulham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.01%
11.38%
10.77%
6.79%
3.21%
1.22%
1
5.52%
10.45%
9.89%
6.24%
2.95%
1.12%
2
2.54%
4.80%
4.55%
2.87%
1.36%
0.51%
3
0.78%
1.47%
1.39%
0.88%
0.42%
0.16%
4
0.18%
0.34%
0.32%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
Fulham
1-05.52%
2-02.54%
2-14.80%
3-00.78%
3-11.47%
3-21.39%
4-00.18%
4-10.34%
4-20.32%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.01%
1-110.45%
2-24.55%
3-30.88%
Aston Villa
0-111.38%
0-210.77%
1-29.89%
0-36.79%
1-36.24%
2-32.87%
0-43.21%
1-42.95%
2-41.36%
3-40.42%
0-51.22%
1-51.12%
2-50.51%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Fulham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
27.21%
23.84%
10.44%
3.05%
0.67%
0.12%
1
11.58%
10.14%
4.44%
1.30%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.46%
2.16%
0.95%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.35%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Fulham
1-011.58%
2-02.46%
2-12.16%
3-00.35%
3-10.31%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.21%
1-110.14%
2-20.95%
Aston Villa
0-123.84%
0-210.44%
1-24.44%
0-33.05%
1-31.30%
2-30.28%
0-40.67%
1-40.28%
0-50.12%