Arsenal at Aston Villa

Updated

Arsenal

40.3%27.0%32.7%
Arsenal WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.33Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 4-3 at Luton Town-540
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-395
W 1-0 at Brentford-160
W 1-3 vs Burnley-515
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+173
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+400
T 2-2 at Bournemouth+110
W 2-1 at Tottenham+161
W 1-3 vs Fulham-160
L 0-2 at Nottingham Forest-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+118+103+100+100-101+100+103+107.0
Aston Villa+220+260+255+260+272+260+272+272.5
Draw+272+271+255+289+280+289+289+302.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+110-+100--120+105+105+107.0
Aston Villa+233-+261-+235+245+261+272.5
Draw+255-+270-+250+265+270+302.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +101 to -102
Aston Villa ML moved from +255 to +247

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +105 to -102
Aston Villa ML moved from +270 to +261

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2½-142o2¾-108o2¾-102o2¾-107o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾+105
Underu3-120u2½+120u2¾-112u2¾-114u2¾-107u2¾-114u2¾-107u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-140o2½-130-o2½-145o2½-140o2½-130o2¾+105
Underu2½+110u2½+120u2½+110-u2½+115u2½+120u2½+120u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.33%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.24%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.71%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.58%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 026.63%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 310.28%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 031.28%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.65%
Exactly 220.95%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 054.20%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 210.17%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 058.39%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 28.45%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals18.33%
Wins by 3+ goals6.51%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals13.35%
Wins by 3+ goals4.22%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal21.97%
Wins by 2 goals11.82%
Wins by 3 goals4.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal19.30%
Wins by 2 goals9.12%
Wins by 3 goals3.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.67%8.33%
1.570.96%29.04%
2.545.23%54.77%
3.523.92%76.08%
4.510.68%89.32%
5.54.10%95.90%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.37%26.63%
1.538.13%61.87%
2.514.82%85.18%
3.54.54%95.46%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.72%31.28%
1.532.36%67.64%
2.511.24%88.76%
3.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.35%31.65%
1.531.94%68.06%
2.511.00%89.00%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
8.33%
9.68%
5.63%
2.18%
0.63%
0.15%
1
11.02%
12.81%
7.44%
2.88%
0.84%
0.19%
2
7.29%
8.47%
4.92%
1.91%
0.55%
0.13%
3
3.22%
3.74%
2.17%
0.84%
0.24%
0.06%
4
1.06%
1.24%
0.72%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.33%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-011.02%
2-07.29%
2-18.47%
3-03.22%
3-13.74%
3-22.17%
4-01.06%
4-11.24%
4-20.72%
4-30.28%
5-00.28%
5-10.33%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.33%
1-112.81%
2-24.92%
3-30.84%
Aston Villa
0-19.68%
0-25.63%
1-27.44%
0-32.18%
1-32.88%
2-31.91%
0-40.63%
1-40.84%
2-40.55%
3-40.24%
0-50.15%
1-50.19%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
31.65%
17.03%
4.58%
0.82%
0.11%
1
19.38%
10.43%
2.81%
0.50%
0.07%
2
5.94%
3.19%
0.86%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.21%
0.65%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-019.38%
2-05.94%
2-13.19%
3-01.21%
3-10.65%
3-20.18%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-031.65%
1-110.43%
2-20.86%
Aston Villa
0-117.03%
0-24.58%
1-22.81%
0-30.82%
1-30.50%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%