Burnley at Arsenal

Updated

Burnley

9.4%16.3%74.3%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.37
1Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+240
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+235
L 0-3 at Brentford+370
L 4-1 vs Chelsea+390
W 2-1 at Luton Town+163
Arsenal
Money Line
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+173
W 0-5 vs Sheffield United-800
T 2-2 at Chelsea+135
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+200
W 4-0 at Bournemouth-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1573+1383+1400+1555+1500+1555+1555+1613.7
Arsenal-550-477-550-485-475-485-475-401.7
Draw+646+585+600+585+585+585+600+609.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1375-+1275--+1500+1500+1613.7
Arsenal-525--515---525-515-401.7
Draw+600-+605--+575+605+609.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1600 to +1500
Arsenal ML moved from -475 to -485

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1400 to +1200
Arsenal ML moved from -480 to -515

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+107o3+105o2¾-118o2¾-120o2¾-118o2¾-120o2¾-118o2¾-111
Underu3½-127u3-123u2¾-102u2¾+104u2¾+102u2¾+104u3-123u2¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-145o3+100o3+110-o3+105o3+110o3+110o2¾-111
Underu3+125u3-120u3-130-u3-135u3-130u3-120u2¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+110 to u3-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.59%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 417.24%
Exactly 65.46%
Exactly 80.93%
 
Exactly 114.14%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.63%
Exactly 72.40%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 049.06%
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 212.44%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 122.16%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.00%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 44.15%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.25%
Exactly 311.62%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 071.91%
Exactly 123.71%
Exactly 23.91%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals2.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals51.24%
Wins by 3+ goals29.41%
Wins by 4+ goals14.14%
Wins by 5+ goals5.77%
Wins by 6+ goals2.00%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal6.91%
Wins by 2 goals1.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.02%
Wins by 2 goals21.84%
Wins by 3 goals15.26%
Wins by 4 goals8.37%
Wins by 5 goals3.76%
Wins by 6 goals1.43%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.41%4.59%
1.581.28%18.72%
2.559.49%40.51%
3.537.11%62.89%
4.519.87%80.13%
5.59.24%90.76%
6.53.78%96.22%
7.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.94%49.06%
1.516.00%84.00%
2.53.56%96.44%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.49%31.51%
2.542.24%57.76%
3.521.50%78.50%
4.59.21%90.79%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.00%24.00%
1.541.74%58.26%
2.517.31%82.69%
3.55.68%94.32%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Arsenal
Score012345
0
4.59%
10.87%
12.88%
10.17%
6.03%
2.86%
1
3.27%
7.74%
9.17%
7.25%
4.29%
2.03%
2
1.16%
2.76%
3.27%
2.58%
1.53%
0.72%
3
0.28%
0.65%
0.78%
0.61%
0.36%
0.17%
Burnley
1-03.27%
2-01.16%
2-12.76%
3-00.28%
3-10.65%
3-20.78%
Draw
0-04.59%
1-17.74%
2-23.27%
3-30.61%
Arsenal
0-110.87%
0-212.88%
1-29.17%
0-310.17%
1-37.25%
2-32.58%
0-46.03%
1-44.29%
2-41.53%
3-40.36%
0-52.86%
1-52.03%
2-50.72%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Arsenal
Score012345
0
24.00%
26.34%
14.45%
5.28%
1.45%
0.32%
1
7.91%
8.68%
4.76%
1.74%
0.48%
0.10%
2
1.30%
1.43%
0.79%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-07.91%
2-01.30%
2-11.43%
3-00.14%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-024.00%
1-18.68%
2-20.79%
Arsenal
0-126.34%
0-214.45%
1-24.76%
0-35.28%
1-31.74%
2-30.29%
0-41.45%
1-40.48%
0-50.32%
1-50.10%