Chelsea at Burnley

Updated

Chelsea

53.9%24.9%21.2%
Chelsea WinDrawBurnley Win
1.61Projected Goals 0.91
4Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-0 at Fulham+118
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa-120
T 0-0 at Bournemouth-120
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest-250
W 0-3 vs Luton Town-412
Burnley
Money Line
W 2-1 at Luton Town+163
L 0-2 at Newcastle United+730
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+321
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+265
L 5-2 vs Tottenham+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-119-144-150-143-143-143-143-131.7
Burnley+330+411+400+425+425+425+425+443.6
Draw+278+292+300+290+290+290+300+303.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-165--145--160-145-145-131.7
Burnley+340-+389-+325+390+390+443.6
Draw+260-+290-+265+290+290+303.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -127 to -133
Burnley ML moved from +359 to +349

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -130 to -145
Burnley ML moved from +360 to +350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-124o2½-123o2½-122o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2½+106u2½+105u2½+102u2½+102u2½+102u2½+102u2½+105u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-120o2½-112-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-112o2½-109
Underu2½+100u2½+100u2½-108-u2½-115u2½-105u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.02%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.23%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 019.90%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.96%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 040.29%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.65%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 047.36%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.23%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 065.65%
Exactly 127.63%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals28.85%
Wins by 3+ goals12.25%
Wins by 4+ goals4.24%
Wins by 5+ goals1.21%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals7.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals16.59%
Wins by 3 goals8.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal14.12%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.98%8.02%
1.571.75%28.25%
2.546.22%53.78%
3.524.74%75.26%
4.511.20%88.80%
5.54.36%95.64%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.10%19.90%
1.547.97%52.03%
2.522.04%77.96%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.71%40.29%
1.523.08%76.92%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.59%67.41%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Burnley
Score01234
0
8.02%
7.29%
3.31%
1.00%
0.23%
1
12.94%
11.77%
5.35%
1.62%
0.37%
2
10.45%
9.50%
4.32%
1.31%
0.30%
3
5.62%
5.11%
2.32%
0.70%
0.16%
4
2.27%
2.06%
0.94%
0.28%
0.06%
5
0.73%
0.67%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.94%
2-010.45%
2-19.50%
3-05.62%
3-15.11%
3-22.32%
4-02.27%
4-12.06%
4-20.94%
4-30.28%
5-00.73%
5-10.67%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-08.02%
1-111.77%
2-24.32%
3-30.70%
Burnley
0-17.29%
0-23.31%
1-25.35%
0-31.00%
1-31.62%
2-31.31%
0-40.23%
1-40.37%
2-40.30%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Burnley
Score0123
0
31.09%
13.09%
2.75%
0.39%
1
23.24%
9.78%
2.06%
0.29%
2
8.68%
3.66%
0.77%
0.11%
3
2.16%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-023.24%
2-08.68%
2-13.66%
3-02.16%
3-10.91%
3-20.19%
4-00.40%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-031.09%
1-19.78%
2-20.77%
Burnley
0-113.09%
0-22.75%
1-22.06%
0-30.39%
1-30.29%
2-30.11%