Arsenal at Luton Town

Updated

Arsenal

73.8%16.4%9.7%
Arsenal WinDrawWin
2.37Projected Goals 0.73
4Final Score 3

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-395
W 1-0 at Brentford-160
W 1-3 vs Burnley-515
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+173
W 0-5 vs Sheffield United-800
Luton Town
Money Line
L 1-3 at Brentford+565
W 1-2 vs Crystal Palace+290
L 0-1 at Manchester United+900
T 1-1 vs Liverpool+1250
L 1-3 at Aston Villa+775

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-346-493-550-525-520-510-493-420.7
Luton Town+971+1418+1400+1550+1532+1450+1532+1504.0
Draw+485+601+600+645+640+645+645+670.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-455--540---600-540-420.7
Luton Town+1050-+1450--+1600+1600+1504.0
Draw+560-+606--+640+640+670.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -506 to -520
Luton Town ML moved from +1550 to +1450

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -550 to -600
Luton Town ML moved from +1400 to +1380

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-132o3+108o2¾-125o3+110o2¾-123o3+110o2¾-123o3+117
Underu3+112u3-128u2¾+105u3-126u2¾+107u3-126u3-126u3-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3+110o3-105-o3-115o3+100o3+110o3+117
Underu3+110u3-130u3-115-u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 65.54%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.00%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.73%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 70.77%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 048.12%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 212.87%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.84%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 071.27%
Exactly 124.14%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals50.72%
Wins by 3+ goals29.01%
Wins by 4+ goals13.91%
Wins by 5+ goals5.66%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals2.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.02%
Wins by 2 goals21.71%
Wins by 3 goals15.10%
Wins by 4 goals8.25%
Wins by 5 goals3.70%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal7.11%
Wins by 2 goals2.06%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.48%18.52%
2.559.81%40.19%
3.537.44%62.56%
4.520.12%79.88%
5.59.40%90.60%
6.53.86%96.14%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.39%31.61%
2.542.11%57.89%
3.521.40%78.60%
4.59.15%90.85%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.88%48.12%
1.516.68%83.32%
2.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.16%23.84%
1.541.98%58.02%
2.517.47%82.53%
3.55.76%94.24%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Luton Town
Score0123
0
4.52%
3.31%
1.21%
0.29%
1
10.69%
7.82%
2.86%
0.70%
2
12.64%
9.25%
3.38%
0.82%
3
9.97%
7.29%
2.67%
0.65%
4
5.89%
4.31%
1.58%
0.38%
5
2.79%
2.04%
0.75%
0.18%
Arsenal
1-010.69%
2-012.64%
2-19.25%
3-09.97%
3-17.29%
3-22.67%
4-05.89%
4-14.31%
4-21.58%
4-30.38%
5-02.79%
5-12.04%
5-20.75%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-04.52%
1-17.82%
2-23.38%
3-30.65%
Luton Town
0-13.31%
0-21.21%
1-22.86%
0-30.29%
1-30.70%
2-30.82%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Luton Town
Score0123
0
23.84%
8.07%
1.37%
0.15%
1
26.11%
8.84%
1.50%
0.17%
2
14.29%
4.84%
0.82%
0.09%
3
5.22%
1.77%
0.30%
0.03%
4
1.43%
0.48%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.31%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-026.11%
2-014.29%
2-14.84%
3-05.22%
3-11.77%
3-20.30%
4-01.43%
4-10.48%
5-00.31%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.84%
1-18.84%
2-20.82%
Luton Town
0-18.07%
0-21.37%
1-21.50%
0-30.15%
1-30.17%