Crystal Palace at Luton Town

Updated

Crystal Palace

57.7%23.7%18.6%
Crystal Palace WinDrawWin
1.71Projected Goals 0.86
1Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Everton+155
W 2-0 at Burnley+135
L 2-1 vs Tottenham+360
L 0-4 at Newcastle United+700
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest+130
Luton Town
Money Line
L 0-1 at Manchester United+900
T 1-1 vs Liverpool+1250
L 1-3 at Aston Villa+775
T 2-2 at Nottingham Forest+415
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+685

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+116+106+100+104+104+104+106+111.0
Luton Town+254+295+295+300+300+300+300+313.7
Draw+239+231+235+240+240+240+240+251.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+107-+107--120+105+105+111.0
Luton Town+255-+255-+280+290+290+313.7
Draw+240-+240-+215+225+240+251.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Crystal Palace ML
Luton Town ML moved from +278 to +268

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from -105 to -120
Luton Town ML moved from +245 to +235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+112o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+101o2¼+101o2¼+101o2-140o2¼+108
Underu2½-132u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-117u2¼-117u2¼-117u2¼-117u2¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-135o2-135-o2½+105o2-135o2-135o2¼+108
Underu2½-138u2+115u2+115-u2½-135u2+115u2½-135u2¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.63%
Exactly 225.26%
Exactly 413.94%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.63%
Exactly 321.66%
Exactly 57.17%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 017.98%
Exactly 130.85%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 315.14%
Exactly 46.49%
Exactly 52.23%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 042.42%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.60%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.38%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 045.18%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.26%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 067.23%
Exactly 126.69%
Exactly 25.30%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals32.28%
Wins by 3+ goals14.43%
Wins by 4+ goals5.27%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals5.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal25.39%
Wins by 2 goals17.85%
Wins by 3 goals9.16%
Wins by 4 goals3.67%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal12.69%
Wins by 2 goals4.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.37%7.63%
1.572.74%27.26%
2.547.49%52.51%
3.525.82%74.18%
4.511.88%88.12%
5.54.71%95.29%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.02%17.98%
1.551.17%48.83%
2.524.70%75.30%
3.59.56%90.44%
4.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.58%42.42%
1.521.20%78.80%
2.55.61%94.39%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.62%30.38%
1.533.43%66.57%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.30%96.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Luton Town
Score01234
0
7.63%
6.54%
2.80%
0.80%
0.17%
1
13.09%
11.22%
4.81%
1.38%
0.29%
2
11.23%
9.63%
4.13%
1.18%
0.25%
3
6.42%
5.51%
2.36%
0.68%
0.14%
4
2.75%
2.36%
1.01%
0.29%
0.06%
5
0.95%
0.81%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
Crystal Palace
1-013.09%
2-011.23%
2-19.63%
3-06.42%
3-15.51%
3-22.36%
4-02.75%
4-12.36%
4-21.01%
4-30.29%
5-00.95%
5-10.81%
5-20.35%
Draw
0-07.63%
1-111.22%
2-24.13%
3-30.68%
Luton Town
0-16.54%
0-22.80%
1-24.81%
0-30.80%
1-31.38%
2-31.18%
0-40.17%
1-40.29%
2-40.25%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Luton Town
Score0123
0
30.38%
12.06%
2.39%
0.32%
1
24.13%
9.58%
1.90%
0.25%
2
9.59%
3.81%
0.76%
0.10%
3
2.54%
1.01%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.50%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Crystal Palace
1-024.13%
2-09.59%
2-13.81%
3-02.54%
3-11.01%
3-20.20%
4-00.50%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-030.38%
1-19.58%
2-20.76%
Luton Town
0-112.06%
0-22.39%
1-21.90%
0-30.32%
1-30.25%
2-30.10%