Liverpool at Manchester City

Updated

Liverpool

19.8%22.6%57.6%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.84
1Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Brentford-270
T 1-1 at Luton Town-520
W 0-3 vs Nottingham Forest-450
W 0-2 vs Everton-260
T 2-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+110
Manchester City
Money Line
T 4-4 at Chelsea-135
W 1-6 vs Bournemouth-1150
W 3-0 at Manchester United-160
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-267
L 0-1 at Arsenal+146

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+358+346+340+367+367+367+367+383.6
Manchester City-144-141-145-140-140-140-140-129.0
Draw+333+332+330+320+320+320+332+334.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+322-+333-+290+340+340+383.6
Manchester City-145--140--165-145-140-129.0
Draw+335-+320-+300+330+330+334.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +320 to +310
No Steam Moves On Manchester City ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +300 to +290
Manchester City ML moved from -133 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-141o3¼-102o3¼-101o3¼-101o3¼-101o3¼-101o3¼+106
Underu3+110u3+119u3¼-118u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3+119u3¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-140o3-120-o3-130o3-125o3-120o3¼+106
Underu3+110u3+120u3+100-u3+100u3+105u3+120u3¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.96%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.81%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.85%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 037.55%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.02%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 015.88%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.49%
Exactly 47.58%
Exactly 52.79%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.11%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 063.54%
Exactly 128.82%
Exactly 26.54%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 042.66%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals6.80%
Wins by 3+ goals1.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals33.17%
Wins by 3+ goals15.47%
Wins by 4+ goals5.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal12.95%
Wins by 2 goals5.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals17.70%
Wins by 3 goals9.54%
Wins by 4 goals4.04%
Wins by 5 goals1.40%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.04%5.96%
1.577.22%22.78%
2.553.52%46.48%
3.531.24%68.76%
4.515.54%84.46%
5.56.68%93.32%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.45%37.55%
1.525.67%74.33%
2.57.66%92.34%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.12%15.88%
1.554.89%45.11%
2.528.01%71.99%
3.511.52%88.48%
4.53.94%96.06%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.89%27.11%
1.537.51%62.49%
2.514.41%85.59%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.96%
10.97%
10.09%
6.19%
2.85%
1.05%
1
5.84%
10.75%
9.89%
6.06%
2.79%
1.03%
2
2.86%
5.26%
4.84%
2.97%
1.37%
0.50%
3
0.93%
1.72%
1.58%
0.97%
0.45%
0.16%
4
0.23%
0.42%
0.39%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Liverpool
1-05.84%
2-02.86%
2-15.26%
3-00.93%
3-11.72%
3-21.58%
4-00.23%
4-10.42%
4-20.39%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.96%
1-110.75%
2-24.84%
3-30.97%
4-40.11%
Manchester City
0-110.97%
0-210.09%
1-29.89%
0-36.19%
1-36.06%
2-32.97%
0-42.85%
1-42.79%
2-41.37%
3-40.45%
0-51.05%
1-51.03%
2-50.50%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Manchester City
Score012345
0
27.11%
23.09%
9.83%
2.79%
0.59%
0.10%
1
12.29%
10.47%
4.46%
1.27%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.79%
2.38%
1.01%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.42%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-012.29%
2-02.79%
2-12.38%
3-00.42%
3-10.36%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.11%
1-110.47%
2-21.01%
Manchester City
0-123.09%
0-29.83%
1-24.46%
0-32.79%
1-31.27%
2-30.29%
0-40.59%
1-40.27%
0-50.10%