Manchester City at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Manchester City

77.4%10.0%12.6%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.91Projected Goals 0.47
4Final Score 0

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-7 vs Leeds United-750
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton-650
W 3-1 at Watford-500
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-230
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-385
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 1-3 at Liverpool+2300
L 0-4 at Leicester City+375
W 0-1 vs Burnley+140
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+116
L 0-2 at Arsenal+530

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-298-725-750-712-929-750-712-623.5
Newcastle Utd+713+1800+1900+2004+2026+1900+2026+2323.9
Draw+432+750+850+856+808+850+856+931.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-530--780---800-780-623.5
Newcastle Utd+1165-+2000--+2000+2000+2323.9
Draw+625-+705--+790+790+931.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -725 to -750
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +1800 to +1700

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -760 to -800
No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-105o3½-112o3½-104-o3½-112o3½-104o3½+101
Underu3+105u3½-115u3½-108u3½-111-u3½-108u3½-108u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3½-110o3½-105-o3½-110o3½-105o3½-105o3½+101
Underu3+110u3½-110u3½-115-u3½-120u3½-115u3½-110u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.7%
 
No64.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.41%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 418.51%
Exactly 67.04%
Exactly 81.43%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.53%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 512.50%
Exactly 73.40%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.48%
Exactly 115.92%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.24%
Exactly 59.43%
Exactly 64.56%
Exactly 71.89%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.24%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.93%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.74%
Exactly 313.34%
Exactly 51.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 026.07%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 310.56%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 080.29%
Exactly 117.63%
Exactly 21.94%
Exactly 30.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals67.72%
Wins by 3+ goals45.48%
Wins by 4+ goals26.06%
Wins by 5+ goals12.83%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal18.49%
Wins by 2 goals22.23%
Wins by 3 goals19.43%
Wins by 4 goals13.23%
Wins by 5 goals7.35%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal3.02%
Wins by 2 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.59%3.41%
1.585.06%14.94%
2.565.59%34.41%
3.543.67%56.33%
4.525.16%74.84%
5.512.66%87.34%
6.55.63%94.37%
7.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.52%5.48%
1.578.59%21.41%
2.555.48%44.52%
3.533.11%66.89%
4.516.88%83.12%
5.57.45%92.55%
6.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.76%62.24%
1.58.25%91.75%
2.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.07%20.93%
1.546.33%53.67%
2.520.73%79.27%
3.57.39%92.61%
4.52.17%97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score012
0
3.41%
1.62%
0.38%
1
9.91%
4.70%
1.11%
2
14.39%
6.82%
1.62%
3
13.92%
6.60%
1.57%
4
10.10%
4.79%
1.14%
5
5.87%
2.78%
0.66%
Manchester City
1-09.91%
2-014.39%
2-16.82%
3-013.92%
3-16.60%
3-21.57%
4-010.10%
4-14.79%
4-21.14%
4-30.18%
5-05.87%
5-12.78%
5-20.66%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-03.41%
1-14.70%
2-21.62%
3-30.25%
Newcastle United
0-11.62%
0-20.38%
1-21.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score012
0
20.93%
4.60%
0.50%
1
28.14%
6.18%
0.68%
2
18.91%
4.15%
0.46%
3
8.47%
1.86%
0.20%
4
2.85%
0.63%
0.07%
5
0.77%
0.17%
0.02%
6
0.17%
0.04%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-028.14%
2-018.91%
2-14.15%
3-08.47%
3-11.86%
3-20.20%
4-02.85%
4-10.63%
5-00.77%
5-10.17%
6-00.17%
Draw
0-020.93%
1-16.18%
2-20.46%
Newcastle United
0-14.60%
0-20.50%
1-20.68%