Leeds United at Manchester City

Updated

Leeds United

12.2%9.6%78.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.45Projected Goals 2.94
0Final Score 7

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
L 2-3 at Chelsea+1150
T 2-2 vs Brentford-115
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+133
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+250
L 1-2 at Tottenham+500
Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton-650
W 3-1 at Watford-500
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-230
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-385
W 0-3 vs Everton-525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+1500+1400+1600+1732+1641+1600+1732+1960.5
Manchester City-600-625-680-642-790-680-625-563.6
Draw+650+725+850+879+770+850+879+878.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+1800-+1850--+1750+1850+1960.5
Manchester City-750--755---750-750-563.6
Draw+775-+785--+775+785+878.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +1500 to +1400
Manchester City ML moved from -642 to -651

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +1800 to +1600
Manchester City ML moved from -725 to -755

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3¾-110o3¾-108o3½-128-o3¾-108o3½-128o3¾-103
Underu3½-122u3¾-110u3¾-112u3½+113-u3¾-112u3¾-110u3¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-130o3½-132-o3½-140o3½-130o3½-130o3¾-103
Underu3½-115u3½+110u3½+112-u3½+110u3½+110u3½+112u3¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-110 to o3½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.8%
 
No65.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.36%
Exactly 219.34%
Exactly 418.56%
Exactly 67.12%
Exactly 81.46%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.40%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 512.60%
Exactly 73.45%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 063.29%
Exactly 128.95%
Exactly 26.62%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 115.59%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 59.65%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 80.73%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.78%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 45.28%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 313.43%
Exactly 51.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 080.91%
Exactly 117.14%
Exactly 21.81%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 025.69%
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals0.61%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals68.67%
Wins by 3+ goals46.52%
Wins by 4+ goals26.90%
Wins by 5+ goals13.38%
Wins by 6+ goals5.77%
Wins by 7+ goals2.16%
Wins by 8+ goals0.68%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal2.83%
Wins by 2 goals0.54%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal18.15%
Wins by 2 goals22.15%
Wins by 3 goals19.62%
Wins by 4 goals13.53%
Wins by 5 goals7.61%
Wins by 6 goals3.61%
Wins by 7 goals1.48%
Wins by 8 goals0.53%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.64%3.36%
1.585.24%14.76%
2.565.89%34.11%
3.544.01%55.99%
4.525.45%74.55%
5.512.86%87.14%
6.55.74%94.26%
7.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.71%63.29%
1.57.76%92.24%
2.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.10%20.90%
2.556.22%43.78%
3.533.84%66.16%
4.517.40%82.60%
5.57.76%92.24%
6.53.04%96.96%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.22%20.78%
1.546.57%53.43%
2.520.92%79.08%
3.57.49%92.51%
4.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.36%
9.86%
14.48%
14.17%
10.40%
6.11%
1
1.54%
4.51%
6.62%
6.48%
4.76%
2.79%
2
0.35%
1.03%
1.52%
1.48%
1.09%
0.64%
Leeds United
1-01.54%
2-00.35%
2-11.03%
Draw
0-03.36%
1-14.51%
2-21.52%
3-30.23%
Manchester City
0-19.86%
0-214.48%
1-26.62%
0-314.17%
1-36.48%
2-31.48%
0-410.40%
1-44.76%
2-41.09%
3-40.17%
0-56.11%
1-52.79%
2-50.64%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
20.78%
28.25%
19.20%
8.70%
2.96%
0.80%
0.18%
1
4.40%
5.98%
4.07%
1.84%
0.63%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.47%
0.63%
0.43%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-04.40%
2-00.47%
2-10.63%
Draw
0-020.78%
1-15.98%
2-20.43%
Manchester City
0-128.25%
0-219.20%
1-24.07%
0-38.70%
1-31.84%
2-30.20%
0-42.96%
1-40.63%
0-50.80%
1-50.17%
0-60.18%