Aston Villa at Norwich City

Updated

Aston Villa

38.3%27.9%33.8%
Aston Villa WinDrawNorwich City Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 0

Norwich City

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-1 at Liverpool+1200
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+135
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+650
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace+235
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+148
Norwich City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+650
L 0-3 at Tottenham+650
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+240
T 0-0 vs Wolverhampton+260
W 1-2 vs Southampton+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+110+105+112+116+108+112+116+119.0
Norwich City+255+275+280+280+269+280+280+286.8
Draw+225+240+235+239+225+235+240+251.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+130-+110-+100+115+110+119.0
Norwich City+220-+265-+230+250+265+286.8
Draw+230-+230-+210+235+235+251.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Norwich City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aston Villa: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +115
Norwich City ML moved from +286 to +279

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Norwich City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aston Villa: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +110 to +100
Norwich City ML moved from +265 to +252

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2¼-110o2¼-121o2½+113-o2¼-121o2¼-110o2¼-111
Underu2½-125u2¼-110u2¼+101u2½-128-u2¼+101u2½-128u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+115o2½+110-o2½+100o2½+115o2½+115o2¼-111
Underu2½-125u2½-135u2½-130-u2½-130u2½-135u2½-130u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.49%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.16%
Exactly 62.25%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.35%
Exactly 320.66%
Exactly 55.73%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 028.64%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 222.39%
Exactly 39.33%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 033.14%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.21%
Exactly 37.44%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.61%
Exactly 219.98%
Exactly 41.98%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.26%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.05%
Exactly 132.45%
Exactly 29.39%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 059.97%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals17.41%
Wins by 3+ goals5.93%
Wins by 4+ goals1.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals12.81%
Wins by 3+ goals3.85%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Norwich City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.18%
Wins by 2 goals11.48%
Wins by 3 goals4.32%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal19.59%
Wins by 2 goals8.96%
Wins by 3 goals2.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.51%9.49%
1.568.16%31.84%
2.541.84%58.16%
3.521.19%78.81%
4.59.03%90.97%
5.53.30%96.70%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.36%28.64%
1.535.55%64.45%
2.513.16%86.84%
3.53.83%96.17%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.86%33.14%
1.530.26%69.74%
2.510.05%89.95%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.39%33.61%
1.529.74%70.26%
2.59.76%90.24%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Norwich City
Score012345
0
9.49%
10.48%
5.79%
2.13%
0.59%
0.13%
1
11.87%
13.11%
7.24%
2.66%
0.74%
0.16%
2
7.42%
8.19%
4.52%
1.67%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.09%
3.41%
1.89%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.97%
1.07%
0.59%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.27%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.87%
2-07.42%
2-18.19%
3-03.09%
3-13.41%
3-21.89%
4-00.97%
4-11.07%
4-20.59%
4-30.22%
5-00.24%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.49%
1-113.11%
2-24.52%
3-30.69%
Norwich City
0-110.48%
0-25.79%
1-27.24%
0-32.13%
1-32.66%
2-31.67%
0-40.59%
1-40.74%
2-40.46%
3-40.19%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Norwich City
Score0123
0
33.61%
17.19%
4.39%
0.75%
1
19.46%
9.95%
2.54%
0.43%
2
5.63%
2.88%
0.74%
0.13%
3
1.09%
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-019.46%
2-05.63%
2-12.88%
3-01.09%
3-10.56%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.61%
1-19.95%
2-20.74%
Norwich City
0-117.19%
0-24.39%
1-22.54%
0-30.75%
1-30.43%
2-30.13%
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