Manchester Utd at Chelsea

Updated

Manchester United

27.8%24.0%48.2%
Manchester Utd WinDrawChelsea Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
L 1-4 at Watford-200
L 2-0 vs Manchester City+373
W 3-0 at Tottenham+120
L 5-0 vs Liverpool+205
L 2-4 at Leicester City-105
Chelsea
Money Line
W 3-0 at Leicester City-135
T 1-1 vs Burnley-365
W 3-0 at Newcastle United-235
W 0-7 vs Norwich City-493
W 1-0 at Brentford-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+450+475+500+555+557+500+557+564.3
Chelsea-170-180-175-178-198-175-175-162.8
Draw+310+320+330+327+311+330+330+334.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+465-+539-+450+510+539+564.3
Chelsea-160--190--210-180-180-162.8
Draw+290-+315-+265+310+315+334.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 50.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +500 to +475
Chelsea ML moved from -189 to -198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +550 to +510
Chelsea ML moved from -185 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-110o2½-115o2½-114-o2½-115o2½-110o2½-105
Underu2½-115u2½-110u2½-105u2½-101-u2½-105u2½-101u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-114-o2½-130o2½-115o2½-114o2½-105
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-106-u2½+100u2½-105u2½+100u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-128 to o2¾-115
The Under moved from u2½+129 to u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.78%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 414.82%
Exactly 63.58%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.25%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.38%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 037.36%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.11%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 018.15%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 315.03%
Exactly 46.41%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.77%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 063.39%
Exactly 128.90%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 045.38%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 214.16%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals7.57%
Wins by 3+ goals2.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals29.86%
Wins by 3+ goals13.15%
Wins by 4+ goals4.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.42%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal14.09%
Wins by 2 goals5.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.43%
Wins by 2 goals16.70%
Wins by 3 goals8.41%
Wins by 4 goals3.32%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.22%6.78%
1.574.97%25.03%
2.550.42%49.58%
3.528.39%71.61%
4.513.58%86.42%
5.55.60%94.40%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.64%37.36%
1.525.86%74.14%
2.57.75%92.25%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.85%18.15%
1.550.88%49.12%
2.524.45%75.55%
3.59.42%90.58%
4.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.23%28.77%
1.535.39%64.61%
2.513.06%86.94%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Chelsea
Score012345
0
6.78%
11.57%
9.87%
5.62%
2.40%
0.82%
1
6.68%
11.39%
9.72%
5.53%
2.36%
0.81%
2
3.29%
5.61%
4.79%
2.72%
1.16%
0.40%
3
1.08%
1.84%
1.57%
0.89%
0.38%
0.13%
4
0.27%
0.45%
0.39%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Manchester United
1-06.68%
2-03.29%
2-15.61%
3-01.08%
3-11.84%
3-21.57%
4-00.27%
4-10.45%
4-20.39%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.78%
1-111.39%
2-24.79%
3-30.89%
Chelsea
0-111.57%
0-29.87%
1-29.72%
0-35.62%
1-35.53%
2-32.72%
0-42.40%
1-42.36%
2-41.16%
3-40.38%
0-50.82%
1-50.81%
2-50.40%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Chelsea
Score01234
0
28.77%
22.73%
8.98%
2.36%
0.47%
1
13.11%
10.36%
4.09%
1.08%
0.21%
2
2.99%
2.36%
0.93%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.45%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-013.11%
2-02.99%
2-12.36%
3-00.45%
3-10.36%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.77%
1-110.36%
2-20.93%
Chelsea
0-122.73%
0-28.98%
1-24.09%
0-32.36%
1-31.08%
2-30.25%
0-40.47%
1-40.21%