Luton Town at Arsenal

Updated

Luton Town

3.0%8.0%89.0%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.52Projected Goals 3.28
0Final Score 2

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
L 1-2 at Tottenham+1050
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+170
L 3-4 at Bournemouth+475
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+350
L 3-2 vs Aston Villa+350
Arsenal
Money Line
T 0-0 at Manchester City+280
W 1-2 vs Brentford-500
W 6-0 at Sheffield United-585
W 1-4 vs Newcastle United-315
W 5-0 at Burnley-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+1390+1874+1700+1950+1821+1950+1950+2020.7
Arsenal-536-799-800-775-814-775-775-595.3
Draw+668+894+825+900+877+900+900+934.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+1425-+1600--+1600+1600+2020.7
Arsenal-820--820---800-800-595.3
Draw+890-+875--+875+875+934.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +1800 to +1700
Arsenal ML moved from -777 to -799

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +1600 to +1500
Arsenal ML moved from -775 to -800

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-134o3½-130o3¾-102o3¾+100o3¾-101o3¾+100o3½-130o3¾+107
Underu3½+114u3½+110u3¾-118u3¾-116u3¾-113u3¾-116u3¾-113u3¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-135o3½-130o3½-120o3½-130o4-110o3½-130o3½-120o3¾+107
Underu3½+115u3½+110u3½+100u3½+110u4-120u3½+110u4-120u3¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u4-120 to u3½+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-140 to o4+100
The Under moved from u4-125 to u3½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.7%
 
No61.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.24%
Exactly 216.17%
Exactly 419.43%
Exactly 69.35%
Exactly 82.41%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.51%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 514.76%
Exactly 75.07%
Exactly 91.02%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 059.83%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 03.75%
Exactly 112.30%
Exactly 220.21%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 418.16%
Exactly 511.93%
Exactly 66.53%
Exactly 73.06%
Exactly 81.26%
Exactly 90.46%
Exactly 100.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.23%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 60.71%
 
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 315.62%
Exactly 52.41%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 078.83%
Exactly 118.75%
Exactly 22.23%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 021.86%
Exactly 133.24%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 312.81%
Exactly 44.87%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals0.58%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals73.38%
Wins by 3+ goals52.88%
Wins by 4+ goals33.03%
Wins by 5+ goals17.94%
Wins by 6+ goals8.53%
Wins by 7+ goals3.58%
Wins by 8+ goals1.32%
Wins by 9+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Arsenal
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal2.43%
Wins by 2 goals0.50%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal15.58%
Wins by 2 goals20.49%
Wins by 3 goals19.85%
Wins by 4 goals15.09%
Wins by 5 goals9.41%
Wins by 6 goals4.96%
Wins by 7 goals2.26%
Wins by 8 goals0.91%
Wins by 9 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.76%2.24%
1.589.25%10.75%
2.573.08%26.92%
3.552.61%47.39%
4.533.18%66.82%
5.518.42%81.58%
6.59.07%90.93%
7.54.00%96.00%
8.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.17%59.83%
1.59.44%90.56%
2.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.25%3.75%
1.583.95%16.05%
2.563.74%36.26%
3.541.62%58.38%
4.523.46%76.54%
5.511.53%88.47%
6.54.99%95.01%
7.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.77%17.23%
1.552.47%47.53%
2.525.83%74.17%
3.510.21%89.79%
4.53.35%96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Arsenal
Score012345
0
2.24%
7.36%
12.09%
13.23%
10.87%
7.14%
1
1.15%
3.78%
6.21%
6.80%
5.58%
3.67%
2
0.30%
0.97%
1.60%
1.75%
1.43%
0.94%
Luton Town
1-01.15%
2-00.30%
2-10.97%
Draw
0-02.24%
1-13.78%
2-21.60%
3-30.30%
Arsenal
0-17.36%
0-212.09%
1-26.21%
0-313.23%
1-36.80%
2-31.75%
0-410.87%
1-45.58%
2-41.43%
3-40.25%
0-57.14%
1-53.67%
2-50.94%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Arsenal
Score0123456
0
17.23%
26.20%
19.92%
10.10%
3.84%
1.17%
0.30%
1
4.10%
6.23%
4.74%
2.40%
0.91%
0.28%
0.07%
2
0.49%
0.74%
0.56%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-04.10%
2-00.49%
2-10.74%
Draw
0-017.23%
1-16.23%
2-20.56%
Arsenal
0-126.20%
0-219.92%
1-24.74%
0-310.10%
1-32.40%
2-30.29%
0-43.84%
1-40.91%
2-40.11%
0-51.17%
1-50.28%
0-60.30%