Arsenal at Burnley

Updated

Arsenal

60.0%22.4%17.6%
Arsenal WinDrawWin
1.85Projected Goals 0.89
5Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 6-0 at West Ham United-200
W 1-3 vs Liverpool+120
W 2-1 at Nottingham Forest-270
W 0-5 vs Crystal Palace-370
L 1-2 at Fulham-200
Burnley
Money Line
L 1-3 at Liverpool+1500
T 2-2 vs Fulham+190
L 1-3 at Manchester City+2350
T 1-1 vs Luton Town+110
L 2-3 at Aston Villa+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-254-328-345-340-334-340-328-294.5
Burnley+692+890+850+930+910+930+930+966.2
Draw+409+480+500+505+500+505+505+526.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-320--347---325-325-294.5
Burnley+800-+850--+825+850+966.2
Draw+460-+485--+460+485+526.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -330 to -340
Burnley ML moved from +904 to +890

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -335 to -347
Burnley ML moved from +840 to +825

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+103o3-115o3-115o3-113o3-107o3-113o3-107o3-105
Underu3-121u3-103u3-105u3-103u3-107u3-103u3-103u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3-114-o3-115o3-115o3+100o3-105
Underu3-120u3-120u3-106-u3-115u3-105u3-105u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.47%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 415.15%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.72%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.29%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 015.73%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.59%
Exactly 47.67%
Exactly 52.84%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 041.15%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.22%
Exactly 34.80%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.16%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 042.47%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 066.29%
Exactly 127.25%
Exactly 25.60%
Exactly 30.77%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals35.06%
Wins by 3+ goals16.54%
Wins by 4+ goals6.41%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals5.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.89%
Wins by 2 goals18.52%
Wins by 3 goals10.13%
Wins by 4 goals4.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal11.95%
Wins by 2 goals4.27%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.53%6.47%
1.575.81%24.19%
2.551.55%48.45%
3.529.42%70.58%
4.514.27%85.73%
5.55.98%94.02%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.27%15.73%
1.555.17%44.83%
2.528.27%71.73%
3.511.68%88.32%
4.54.01%95.99%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.85%41.15%
1.522.31%77.69%
2.56.09%93.91%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.84%28.16%
1.536.16%63.84%
2.513.55%86.45%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Burnley
Score01234
0
6.47%
5.75%
2.55%
0.76%
0.17%
1
11.97%
10.63%
4.72%
1.40%
0.31%
2
11.07%
9.83%
4.37%
1.29%
0.29%
3
6.83%
6.06%
2.69%
0.80%
0.18%
4
3.16%
2.80%
1.24%
0.37%
0.08%
5
1.17%
1.04%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
Arsenal
1-011.97%
2-011.07%
2-19.83%
3-06.83%
3-16.06%
3-22.69%
4-03.16%
4-12.80%
4-21.24%
4-30.37%
5-01.17%
5-11.04%
5-20.46%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.47%
1-110.63%
2-24.37%
3-30.80%
Burnley
0-15.75%
0-22.55%
1-24.72%
0-30.76%
1-31.40%
2-31.29%
0-40.17%
1-40.31%
2-40.29%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Burnley
Score0123
0
28.16%
11.58%
2.38%
0.33%
1
24.11%
9.91%
2.04%
0.28%
2
10.32%
4.24%
0.87%
0.12%
3
2.95%
1.21%
0.25%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.26%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-024.11%
2-010.32%
2-14.24%
3-02.95%
3-11.21%
3-20.25%
4-00.63%
4-10.26%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-028.16%
1-19.91%
2-20.87%
Burnley
0-111.58%
0-22.38%
1-22.04%
0-30.33%
1-30.28%
2-30.12%