Luton Town at Burnley

Updated

Luton Town

12.2%19.5%68.3%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.06
1Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Chelsea+480
W 3-2 at Sheffield United+211
W 0-1 vs Newcastle United+425
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+1300
L 4-3 vs Arsenal+1600
Burnley
Money Line
L 2-3 at Aston Villa+650
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+650
W 2-0 at Fulham+400
L 2-0 vs Everton+235
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+570

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+285+249+245+249+254+249+254+261.1
Burnley-105+116+110+117+115+117+117+124.5
Draw+260+245+245+248+248+248+248+260.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+290-+270-+245+260+260+261.1
Burnley-108-+110--110+105+110+124.5
Draw+254-+254-+220+250+250+260.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Burnley: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +263 to +254
Burnley ML moved from +117 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Burnley: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +270 to +260
Burnley ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-107o2½-102o2½+101o2½+103o2½+101o2½+103o2½+108
Underu2½-115u2½-109u2½-118u2½-117u2½-119u2½-117u2½-109u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-105o2½-102-o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102o2½+108
Underu2½-108u2½-115u2½-118-u2½-125u2½-115u2½-115u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.09%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 415.57%
Exactly 64.07%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.04%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.72%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 047.96%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 212.95%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 012.69%
Exactly 126.20%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.60%
Exactly 53.96%
Exactly 61.36%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.36%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 43.22%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 39.93%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 071.16%
Exactly 124.21%
Exactly 24.12%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 038.45%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals3.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.63%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals43.49%
Wins by 3+ goals22.59%
Wins by 4+ goals9.72%
Wins by 5+ goals3.53%
Wins by 6+ goals1.09%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal8.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.83%
Wins by 2 goals20.90%
Wins by 3 goals12.87%
Wins by 4 goals6.19%
Wins by 5 goals2.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.81%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.91%6.09%
1.576.88%23.12%
2.553.03%46.97%
3.530.79%69.21%
4.515.22%84.78%
5.56.50%93.50%
6.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.04%47.96%
1.516.80%83.20%
2.53.85%96.15%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.31%12.69%
1.561.11%38.89%
2.534.07%65.93%
3.515.47%84.53%
4.55.86%94.14%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.64%27.36%
1.537.18%62.82%
2.514.20%85.80%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Burnley
Score012345
0
6.09%
12.56%
12.97%
8.92%
4.61%
1.90%
1
4.47%
9.23%
9.53%
6.56%
3.38%
1.40%
2
1.64%
3.39%
3.50%
2.41%
1.24%
0.51%
3
0.40%
0.83%
0.86%
0.59%
0.30%
0.13%
Luton Town
1-04.47%
2-01.64%
2-13.39%
3-00.40%
3-10.83%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-06.09%
1-19.23%
2-23.50%
3-30.59%
Burnley
0-112.56%
0-212.97%
1-29.53%
0-38.92%
1-36.56%
2-32.41%
0-44.61%
1-43.38%
2-41.24%
3-40.30%
0-51.90%
1-51.40%
2-50.51%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Burnley
Score012345
0
27.36%
26.15%
12.50%
3.98%
0.95%
0.18%
1
9.31%
8.90%
4.25%
1.35%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.58%
1.51%
0.72%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-09.31%
2-01.58%
2-11.51%
3-00.18%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-027.36%
1-18.90%
2-20.72%
Burnley
0-126.15%
0-212.50%
1-24.25%
0-33.98%
1-31.35%
2-30.23%
0-40.95%
1-40.32%
0-50.18%