Newcastle Utd at Luton Town

Updated

Newcastle United

67.4%19.5%13.1%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawWin
2.09Projected Goals 0.79
0Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Fulham-120
L 1-4 at Tottenham+235
L 0-3 at Everton+135
W 0-1 vs Manchester United+100
W 1-4 vs Chelsea+165
Luton Town
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+1300
L 4-3 vs Arsenal+1600
L 1-3 at Brentford+565
W 1-2 vs Crystal Palace+290
L 0-1 at Manchester United+900

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-150-157-160-156-161-156-156-143.2
Luton Town+391+435+400+460+458+460+460+479.5
Draw+324+312+320+305+318+305+320+319.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-165--160--180-160-160-143.2
Luton Town+392-+415-+345+425+425+479.5
Draw+330-+310-+285+310+310+319.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -151 to -157
Luton Town ML moved from +380 to +370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -150 to -160
Luton Town ML moved from +410 to +385

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-137o2½-125o2½-122o2½-118o2½-117o2½-118o2½-117o2½-109
Underu2½+117u2½+105u2½+102u2½+102u2½+101u2½+102u2½+105u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-135o2½-118-o2½-145o2½-130o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2½+115u2½+115u2½-102-u2½+115u2½+110u2½+115u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.64%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 416.06%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.22%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 012.44%
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.77%
Exactly 49.78%
Exactly 54.08%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 045.35%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.18%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.42%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 038.10%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 35.71%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 069.34%
Exactly 125.39%
Exactly 24.65%
Exactly 30.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals42.82%
Wins by 3+ goals22.28%
Wins by 4+ goals9.63%
Wins by 5+ goals3.51%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals3.78%
Wins by 3+ goals0.82%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals20.54%
Wins by 3 goals12.66%
Wins by 4 goals6.12%
Wins by 5 goals2.42%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal9.30%
Wins by 2 goals2.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.36%5.64%
1.578.14%21.86%
2.554.83%45.17%
3.532.48%67.52%
4.516.42%83.58%
5.57.19%92.81%
6.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.56%12.44%
1.561.63%38.37%
2.534.61%65.39%
3.515.84%84.16%
4.56.06%93.94%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.65%45.35%
1.518.79%81.21%
2.54.61%95.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.58%26.42%
1.538.42%61.58%
2.515.01%84.99%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Luton Town
Score0123
0
5.64%
4.46%
1.76%
0.46%
1
11.76%
9.30%
3.68%
0.97%
2
12.25%
9.69%
3.83%
1.01%
3
8.51%
6.73%
2.66%
0.70%
4
4.44%
3.51%
1.39%
0.37%
5
1.85%
1.46%
0.58%
0.15%
Newcastle United
1-011.76%
2-012.25%
2-19.69%
3-08.51%
3-16.73%
3-22.66%
4-04.44%
4-13.51%
4-21.39%
4-30.37%
5-01.85%
5-11.46%
5-20.58%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.64%
1-19.30%
2-23.83%
3-30.70%
Luton Town
0-14.46%
0-21.76%
1-23.68%
0-30.46%
1-30.97%
2-31.01%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Luton Town
Score0123
0
26.42%
9.67%
1.77%
0.22%
1
25.49%
9.33%
1.71%
0.21%
2
12.30%
4.50%
0.82%
0.10%
3
3.96%
1.45%
0.27%
0.03%
4
0.95%
0.35%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-025.49%
2-012.30%
2-14.50%
3-03.96%
3-11.45%
3-20.27%
4-00.95%
4-10.35%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-026.42%
1-19.33%
2-20.82%
Luton Town
0-19.67%
0-21.77%
1-21.71%
0-30.22%
1-30.21%
2-30.10%