Manchester City at Luton Town

Updated

Manchester City

86.6%9.5%3.9%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
3.07Projected Goals 0.55
2Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Aston Villa-145
T 3-3 vs Tottenham-450
T 1-1 vs Liverpool-140
T 4-4 at Chelsea-135
W 1-6 vs Bournemouth-1150
Luton Town
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Arsenal+1600
L 1-3 at Brentford+565
W 1-2 vs Crystal Palace+290
L 0-1 at Manchester United+900
T 1-1 vs Liverpool+1250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-573-503-550-505-579-505-503-418.0
Luton Town+1510+1408+1400+1350+1401+1350+1408+1399.9
Draw+690+617+600+665+637+665+665+691.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-750--535---500-500-418.0
Luton Town+1450-+1200--+1300+1300+1399.9
Draw+800-+650--+580+650+691.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -493 to -503
Luton Town ML moved from +1381 to +1367

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -500 to -525
Luton Town ML moved from +1250 to +1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o3-117o3-112o3-108o3-109o3-108o3-108o3+100
Underu3½-116u3-101u3-108u3-108u3-105u3-108u3-101u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3-110o3-110-o3-115o3-110o3-110o3+100
Underu3½-130u3-110u3-110-u3-115u3-110u3-110u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.1%
 
No59.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.69%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 419.16%
Exactly 68.35%
Exactly 81.95%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.72%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 513.85%
Exactly 74.31%
Exactly 90.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 04.64%
Exactly 114.26%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.18%
Exactly 510.55%
Exactly 65.40%
Exactly 72.37%
Exactly 80.91%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 057.90%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.64%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.75%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 46.14%
Exactly 60.57%
 
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 314.66%
Exactly 52.05%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 024.14%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 077.65%
Exactly 119.64%
Exactly 22.49%
Exactly 30.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals69.08%
Wins by 3+ goals47.66%
Wins by 4+ goals28.27%
Wins by 5+ goals14.48%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals0.79%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal17.40%
Wins by 2 goals21.41%
Wins by 3 goals19.40%
Wins by 4 goals13.79%
Wins by 5 goals8.03%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal3.09%
Wins by 2 goals0.67%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.31%2.69%
1.587.59%12.41%
2.570.01%29.99%
3.548.82%51.18%
4.529.66%70.34%
5.515.81%84.19%
6.57.46%92.54%
7.53.15%96.85%
8.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.36%4.64%
1.581.10%18.90%
2.559.22%40.78%
3.536.84%63.16%
4.519.66%80.34%
5.59.11%90.89%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.10%57.90%
1.510.46%89.54%
2.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.25%18.75%
1.549.87%50.13%
2.523.60%76.40%
3.58.94%91.06%
4.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Luton Town
Score012
0
2.69%
1.47%
0.40%
1
8.25%
4.51%
1.23%
2
12.67%
6.92%
1.89%
3
12.96%
7.08%
1.94%
4
9.95%
5.44%
1.49%
5
6.11%
3.34%
0.91%
Manchester City
1-08.25%
2-012.67%
2-16.92%
3-012.96%
3-17.08%
3-21.94%
4-09.95%
4-15.44%
4-21.49%
4-30.27%
5-06.11%
5-13.34%
5-20.91%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-02.69%
1-14.51%
2-21.89%
3-30.35%
Luton Town
0-11.47%
0-20.40%
1-21.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Luton Town
Score012
0
18.75%
4.74%
0.60%
1
26.64%
6.74%
0.85%
2
18.93%
4.79%
0.61%
3
8.97%
2.27%
0.29%
4
3.19%
0.81%
0.10%
5
0.91%
0.23%
0.03%
6
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-026.64%
2-018.93%
2-14.79%
3-08.97%
3-12.27%
3-20.29%
4-03.19%
4-10.81%
4-20.10%
5-00.91%
5-10.23%
6-00.21%
Draw
0-018.75%
1-16.74%
2-20.61%
Luton Town
0-14.74%
0-20.60%
1-20.85%