Chelsea at Luton Town

Updated

Chelsea

73.9%16.7%9.4%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
2.32Projected Goals 0.69
3Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Crystal Palace-125
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+125
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United-500
L 0-2 at Everton+170
L 1-2 at Manchester United+145
Luton Town
Money Line
W 3-2 at Sheffield United+211
W 0-1 vs Newcastle United+425
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+1300
L 4-3 vs Arsenal+1600
L 1-3 at Brentford+565

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-175-169-180-173-173-173-169-158.0
Luton Town+440+440+440+475+456+475+475+495.1
Draw+330+341+360+340+352+340+360+355.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-175--185--225-175-175-158.0
Luton Town+455-+480-+420+435+480+495.1
Draw+325-+333-+310+340+340+355.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -180 to -190
Luton Town ML moved from +460 to +440

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Luton Town: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -175 to -185
Luton Town ML moved from +470 to +435

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-107o3-108o3-104o3-103o3-104o3-103o3+104
Underu3-118u3-111u3-112u3-112u3-111u3-112u3-111u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+105o3-105-o3+100o3+105o3+105o3+104
Underu3-130u3-125u3-115-u3-130u3-125u3-115u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.92%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 416.87%
Exactly 65.10%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.82%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.16%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 09.85%
Exactly 122.83%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 320.44%
Exactly 411.84%
Exactly 55.49%
Exactly 62.12%
Exactly 70.70%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 049.95%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.80%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 311.21%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 034.20%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.69%
Exactly 37.04%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 072.52%
Exactly 123.30%
Exactly 23.74%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals50.44%
Wins by 3+ goals28.55%
Wins by 4+ goals13.51%
Wins by 5+ goals5.42%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals2.38%
Wins by 3+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.39%
Wins by 2 goals21.89%
Wins by 3 goals15.04%
Wins by 4 goals8.09%
Wins by 5 goals3.57%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal7.00%
Wins by 2 goals1.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.08%4.92%
1.580.26%19.74%
2.557.94%42.06%
3.535.54%64.46%
4.518.67%81.33%
5.58.51%91.49%
6.53.41%96.59%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.15%9.85%
1.567.32%32.68%
2.540.86%59.14%
3.520.42%79.58%
4.58.58%91.42%
5.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.05%49.95%
1.515.38%84.62%
2.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.20%24.80%
1.540.62%59.38%
2.516.51%83.49%
3.55.31%94.69%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Luton Town
Score0123
0
4.92%
3.42%
1.19%
0.27%
1
11.41%
7.92%
2.75%
0.64%
2
13.22%
9.17%
3.18%
0.74%
3
10.21%
7.09%
2.46%
0.57%
4
5.91%
4.11%
1.42%
0.33%
5
2.74%
1.90%
0.66%
0.15%
Chelsea
1-011.41%
2-013.22%
2-19.17%
3-010.21%
3-17.09%
3-22.46%
4-05.91%
4-14.11%
4-21.42%
4-30.33%
5-02.74%
5-11.90%
5-20.66%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.92%
1-17.92%
2-23.18%
3-30.57%
Luton Town
0-13.42%
0-21.19%
1-22.75%
0-30.27%
1-30.64%
2-30.74%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Luton Town
Score0123
0
24.80%
7.97%
1.28%
0.14%
1
26.61%
8.55%
1.37%
0.15%
2
14.28%
4.59%
0.74%
0.08%
3
5.11%
1.64%
0.26%
0.03%
4
1.37%
0.44%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-026.61%
2-014.28%
2-14.59%
3-05.11%
3-11.64%
3-20.26%
4-01.37%
4-10.44%
5-00.29%
Draw
0-024.80%
1-18.55%
2-20.74%
Luton Town
0-17.97%
0-21.28%
1-21.37%
0-30.14%
1-30.15%