Burnley at Brighton

Updated

Burnley

17.7%23.0%59.3%
WinDrawBrighton Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.78
1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+320
W 0-5 vs Sheffield United-125
L 2-1 vs West Ham United+240
L 1-3 at Arsenal+1500
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+240
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brentford-128
L 2-3 at Chelsea+410
W 3-2 at Nottingham Forest+105
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United-400
T 1-1 at Everton+144

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+492+518+475+565+547+565+565+588.6
Brighton-193-188-190-190-202-190-188-172.3
Draw+370+343+350+335+373+335+373+350.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+512-+505-+520+520+570+588.6
Brighton-210--198--270-210-198-172.3
Draw+360-+350-+325+370+370+350.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +585 to +565
Brighton ML moved from -188 to -212

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +610 to +505
Brighton ML moved from -240 to -270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-123o3+117o2¾-118o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-104
Underu3+105u3-137u2¾-102u2¾-104u2¾-103u2¾-104u2¾-102u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+115o3+120-o3+110o3+115o3+120o2¾-104
Underu3-115u3-135u3-140-u3-140u3-135u3-135u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u3-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 042.50%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.56%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 016.83%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.87%
Exactly 47.07%
Exactly 52.52%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.49%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 067.29%
Exactly 126.66%
Exactly 25.28%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 043.82%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals5.54%
Wins by 3+ goals1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals33.99%
Wins by 3+ goals15.64%
Wins by 4+ goals5.89%
Wins by 5+ goals1.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal12.13%
Wins by 2 goals4.23%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.27%
Wins by 2 goals18.35%
Wins by 3 goals9.75%
Wins by 4 goals4.05%
Wins by 5 goals1.37%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.98%26.02%
2.549.10%50.90%
3.527.22%72.78%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.50%42.50%
1.521.13%78.87%
2.55.57%94.43%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.17%16.83%
1.553.18%46.82%
2.526.46%73.54%
3.510.59%89.41%
4.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.51%29.49%
1.534.51%65.49%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
7.15%
12.75%
11.36%
6.75%
3.01%
1.07%
1
6.12%
10.91%
9.72%
5.77%
2.57%
0.92%
2
2.62%
4.67%
4.16%
2.47%
1.10%
0.39%
3
0.75%
1.33%
1.19%
0.70%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.16%
0.28%
0.25%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
Burnley
1-06.12%
2-02.62%
2-14.67%
3-00.75%
3-11.33%
3-21.19%
4-00.16%
4-10.28%
4-20.25%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.15%
1-110.91%
2-24.16%
3-30.70%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.75%
0-211.36%
1-29.72%
0-36.75%
1-35.77%
2-32.47%
0-43.01%
1-42.57%
2-41.10%
3-40.31%
0-51.07%
1-50.92%
2-50.39%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
29.49%
24.33%
10.04%
2.76%
0.57%
1
11.68%
9.64%
3.98%
1.09%
0.23%
2
2.31%
1.91%
0.79%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.31%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Burnley
1-011.68%
2-02.31%
2-11.91%
3-00.31%
3-10.25%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-029.49%
1-19.64%
2-20.79%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-124.33%
0-210.04%
1-23.98%
0-32.76%
1-31.09%
2-30.22%
0-40.57%
1-40.23%