Liverpool at Arsenal

Updated

Liverpool

31.4%26.7%41.9%
Liverpool WinDrawArsenal Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.37
1Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Chelsea-165
W 4-0 at Bournemouth-145
W 2-4 vs Newcastle United-265
W 2-0 at Burnley-275
T 1-1 vs Arsenal+145
Arsenal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Nottingham Forest-270
W 0-5 vs Crystal Palace-370
L 1-2 at Fulham-200
L 2-0 vs West Ham United-345
T 1-1 at Liverpool+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+235+218+205+226+233+226+233+237.2
Arsenal+110+122+120+117+114+117+122+124.4
Draw+278+263+270+275+274+275+275+287.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+203-+225-+195+215+225+237.2
Arsenal+120-+112-+100+120+120+124.4
Draw+265-+267-+245+260+267+287.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +232 to +226
Arsenal ML moved from +124 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +210 to +200
No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-104o3+116o2¾-118o2¾-113o2¾-114o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-105
Underu3-114u3-136u2¾-102u2¾-103u2¾-102u2¾-103u2¾-102u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+110o3+115-o3+110o3+110o3+115o2¾-105
Underu3-130u3-130u3-135-u3-140u3-130u3-130u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.02%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 413.54%
Exactly 62.87%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.24%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.83%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 031.66%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 025.34%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 310.93%
Exactly 43.75%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.10%
Exactly 221.21%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 058.72%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 052.96%
Exactly 133.66%
Exactly 210.70%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals12.67%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals19.57%
Wins by 3+ goals7.16%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Arsenal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal18.70%
Wins by 2 goals8.71%
Wins by 3 goals2.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal22.32%
Wins by 2 goals12.41%
Wins by 3 goals5.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.98%8.02%
1.571.73%28.27%
2.546.20%53.80%
3.524.73%75.27%
4.511.19%88.81%
5.54.36%95.64%
6.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.34%31.66%
1.531.92%68.08%
2.510.99%89.01%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.66%25.34%
1.539.87%60.13%
2.515.99%84.01%
3.55.07%94.93%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.90%31.10%
1.532.58%67.42%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Arsenal
Score012345
0
8.02%
11.01%
7.56%
3.46%
1.19%
0.33%
1
9.23%
12.67%
8.69%
3.98%
1.37%
0.37%
2
5.31%
7.28%
5.00%
2.29%
0.79%
0.22%
3
2.03%
2.79%
1.92%
0.88%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.58%
0.80%
0.55%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-09.23%
2-05.31%
2-17.28%
3-02.03%
3-12.79%
3-21.92%
4-00.58%
4-10.80%
4-20.55%
4-30.25%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.02%
1-112.67%
2-25.00%
3-30.88%
Arsenal
0-111.01%
0-27.56%
1-28.69%
0-33.46%
1-33.98%
2-32.29%
0-41.19%
1-41.37%
2-40.79%
3-40.30%
0-50.33%
1-50.37%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Arsenal
Score01234
0
31.10%
19.76%
6.28%
1.33%
0.21%
1
16.56%
10.52%
3.34%
0.71%
0.11%
2
4.41%
2.80%
0.89%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.78%
0.50%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-016.56%
2-04.41%
2-12.80%
3-00.78%
3-10.50%
3-20.16%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-031.10%
1-110.52%
2-20.89%
Arsenal
0-119.76%
0-26.28%
1-23.34%
0-31.33%
1-30.71%
2-30.19%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%