Manchester City at Brentford

Updated

Manchester City

75.4%15.6%9.0%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.46Projected Goals 0.72
3Final Score 1

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Burnley-1120
W 3-2 at Newcastle United-152
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United-1400
W 3-1 at Everton-175
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-560
Brentford
Money Line
L 2-3 at Tottenham+405
W 2-3 vs Nottingham Forest-130
L 1-3 at Crystal Palace+270
L 4-1 vs Wolverhampton+120
L 2-1 vs Aston Villa+219

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-236-263-275-265-280-265-263-234.6
Brentford+659+698+625+740+722+740+740+769.9
Draw+387+425+440+425+451+425+451+443.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-245--280--330-300-280-234.6
Brentford+595-+675-+615+750+750+769.9
Draw+390-+435-+360+450+450+443.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brentford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -280 to -290
Brentford ML moved from +650 to +625

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brentford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -280 to -300
Brentford ML moved from +695 to +675

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-104o3-133o3-125o3-120o3-130o3-120o3-120o3-111
Underu3-112u3+113u3+105u3+104u3+112u3+104u3+113u3+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-130o3-122-o3-130o3-130o3-122o3-111
Underu3-115u3+110u3+102-u3+100u3+110u3+110u3+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-135
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.18%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 417.70%
Exactly 65.95%
Exactly 81.07%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.26%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.24%
Exactly 72.70%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 08.61%
Exactly 121.11%
Exactly 225.89%
Exactly 321.16%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 62.60%
Exactly 70.91%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 048.54%
Exactly 135.09%
Exactly 212.68%
Exactly 33.06%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.99%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 312.18%
Exactly 51.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 032.12%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 071.56%
Exactly 123.95%
Exactly 24.01%
Exactly 30.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals52.87%
Wins by 3+ goals31.03%
Wins by 4+ goals15.31%
Wins by 5+ goals6.42%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals2.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal22.44%
Wins by 2 goals21.84%
Wins by 3 goals15.72%
Wins by 4 goals8.89%
Wins by 5 goals4.13%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal6.60%
Wins by 2 goals1.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.82%4.18%
1.582.56%17.44%
2.561.50%38.50%
3.539.20%60.80%
4.521.51%78.49%
5.510.26%89.74%
6.54.31%95.69%
7.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.39%8.61%
1.570.29%29.71%
2.544.40%55.60%
3.523.24%76.76%
4.510.26%89.74%
5.53.89%96.11%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.46%48.54%
1.516.38%83.62%
2.53.70%96.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.01%22.99%
1.543.22%56.78%
2.518.37%81.63%
3.56.20%93.80%
4.51.72%98.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brentford
Score0123
0
4.18%
3.02%
1.09%
0.26%
1
10.24%
7.41%
2.68%
0.64%
2
12.56%
9.08%
3.28%
0.79%
3
10.27%
7.43%
2.68%
0.65%
4
6.30%
4.55%
1.65%
0.40%
5
3.09%
2.23%
0.81%
0.19%
Manchester City
1-010.24%
2-012.56%
2-19.08%
3-010.27%
3-17.43%
3-22.68%
4-06.30%
4-14.55%
4-21.65%
4-30.40%
5-03.09%
5-12.23%
5-20.81%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-04.18%
1-17.41%
2-23.28%
3-30.65%
Brentford
0-13.02%
0-21.09%
1-22.68%
0-30.26%
1-30.64%
2-30.79%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brentford
Score0123
0
22.99%
7.69%
1.29%
0.14%
1
26.10%
8.74%
1.46%
0.16%
2
14.82%
4.96%
0.83%
0.09%
3
5.61%
1.88%
0.31%
0.04%
4
1.59%
0.53%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.36%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-026.10%
2-014.82%
2-14.96%
3-05.61%
3-11.88%
3-20.31%
4-01.59%
4-10.53%
5-00.36%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-022.99%
1-18.74%
2-20.83%
Brentford
0-17.69%
0-21.29%
1-21.46%
0-30.14%
1-30.16%