Crystal Palace at Manchester City

Updated

Crystal Palace

5.6%12.2%82.2%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.74
2Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+625
L 2-0 vs Bournemouth+133
T 1-1 at West Ham United+310
L 1-2 at Luton Town+105
L 3-2 vs Everton+155
Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Luton Town-500
L 0-1 at Aston Villa-145
T 3-3 vs Tottenham-450
T 1-1 vs Liverpool-140
T 4-4 at Chelsea-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+1500+1722+1500+1700+1651+1700+1722+1762.6
Manchester City-625-577-575-575-609-575-575-465.6
Draw+700+653+600+685+646+685+685+712.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+1300-+1300--+1300+1300+1762.6
Manchester City-525--560---575-560-465.6
Draw+625-+654--+680+680+712.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +1774 to +1722
Manchester City ML moved from -600 to -609

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Manchester City ML moved from -525 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o2½-140o2¾-112o2¾-101o2¾-105o2¾-101o2¾-101o2¾+106
Underu3¼-105u2½+118u2¾-108u2¾-115u2¾-109u2¾-115u2¾-108u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3+100o3+115-o3-105o3+115o3+115o2¾+106
Underu3+120u3-120u3-135-u3-125u3-135u3-120u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+102 to u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+100 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.7%
 
No58.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.59%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 418.33%
Exactly 66.76%
Exactly 81.34%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 111.94%
Exactly 322.03%
Exactly 512.20%
Exactly 73.21%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 055.37%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 29.67%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 117.74%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 58.28%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.43%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 45.03%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 313.06%
Exactly 51.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 076.06%
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 22.85%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 028.17%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals61.90%
Wins by 3+ goals39.58%
Wins by 4+ goals21.50%
Wins by 5+ goals10.01%
Wins by 6+ goals4.04%
Wins by 7+ goals1.41%
Wins by 8+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal4.36%
Wins by 2 goals1.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.22%
Wins by 2 goals22.31%
Wins by 3 goals18.08%
Wins by 4 goals11.49%
Wins by 5 goals5.98%
Wins by 6 goals2.63%
Wins by 7 goals1.00%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.41%3.59%
1.584.47%15.53%
2.564.60%35.40%
3.542.57%57.43%
4.524.24%75.76%
5.512.04%87.96%
6.55.28%94.72%
7.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.63%55.37%
1.511.90%88.10%
2.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.78%24.22%
2.551.52%48.48%
3.529.39%70.61%
4.514.25%85.75%
5.55.97%94.03%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.57%21.43%
1.545.56%54.44%
2.520.14%79.86%
3.57.08%92.92%
4.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.59%
9.82%
13.43%
12.25%
8.38%
4.59%
1
2.12%
5.81%
7.94%
7.24%
4.95%
2.71%
2
0.63%
1.72%
2.35%
2.14%
1.46%
0.80%
3
0.12%
0.34%
0.46%
0.42%
0.29%
0.16%
Crystal Palace
1-02.12%
2-00.63%
2-11.72%
3-00.12%
3-10.34%
3-20.46%
Draw
0-03.59%
1-15.81%
2-22.35%
3-30.42%
Manchester City
0-19.82%
0-213.43%
1-27.94%
0-312.25%
1-37.24%
2-32.14%
0-48.38%
1-44.95%
2-41.46%
3-40.29%
0-54.59%
1-52.71%
2-50.80%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
21.43%
27.14%
17.19%
7.26%
2.30%
0.58%
0.12%
1
5.87%
7.43%
4.71%
1.99%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.80%
1.02%
0.64%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Crystal Palace
1-05.87%
2-00.80%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-021.43%
1-17.43%
2-20.64%
Manchester City
0-127.14%
0-217.19%
1-24.71%
0-37.26%
1-31.99%
2-30.27%
0-42.30%
1-40.63%
0-50.58%
1-50.16%
0-60.12%