Arsenal at Liverpool

Updated

Arsenal

14.8%19.7%65.5%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.11
1Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-225
L 0-1 at Aston Villa+105
W 4-3 at Luton Town-540
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-395
W 1-0 at Brentford-160
Liverpool
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Manchester United-320
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace-210
W 2-0 at Sheffield United-600
W 3-4 vs Fulham-400
T 1-1 at Manchester City+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+191+176+165+176+182+176+182+185.9
Liverpool+136+150+145+148+144+148+150+156.9
Draw+267+261+270+270+270+270+270+283.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+184-+172-+160+175+175+185.9
Liverpool+138-+144-+120+145+145+156.9
Draw+250-+263-+245+260+263+283.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +182 to +176
Liverpool ML moved from +153 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +185 to +175
Liverpool ML moved from +145 to +137

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-106o3-105o2¾-132o3-101o2¾-132o2¾-132o2¾-123
Underu3-124u3-112u3-115u2¾+116u3-113u2¾+116u3-112u2¾+123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+105o3-105-o2½-150o3-105o2½-150o2¾-123
Underu2½+115u3-125u3-115-u2½+120u3-115u3-115u2¾+123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.94%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 416.85%
Exactly 65.08%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.85%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.14%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 040.91%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.34%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 012.07%
Exactly 125.52%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.02%
Exactly 410.06%
Exactly 54.25%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.83%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 311.19%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 066.11%
Exactly 127.36%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 037.56%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.01%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals4.67%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals41.47%
Wins by 3+ goals21.61%
Wins by 4+ goals9.38%
Wins by 5+ goals3.44%
Wins by 6+ goals1.08%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Liverpool
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal10.12%
Wins by 2 goals3.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal23.95%
Wins by 2 goals19.86%
Wins by 3 goals12.23%
Wins by 4 goals5.94%
Wins by 5 goals2.37%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.06%4.94%
1.580.21%19.79%
2.557.87%42.13%
3.535.47%64.53%
4.518.62%81.38%
5.58.48%91.52%
6.53.39%96.61%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.09%40.91%
1.522.53%77.47%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.93%12.07%
1.562.42%37.58%
2.535.44%64.56%
3.516.42%83.58%
4.56.36%93.64%
5.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.17%24.83%
1.540.57%59.43%
2.516.48%83.52%
3.55.29%94.71%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Liverpool
Score012345
0
4.94%
10.44%
11.04%
7.78%
4.11%
1.74%
1
4.41%
9.33%
9.87%
6.95%
3.68%
1.56%
2
1.97%
4.17%
4.41%
3.11%
1.64%
0.70%
3
0.59%
1.24%
1.31%
0.93%
0.49%
0.21%
4
0.13%
0.28%
0.29%
0.21%
0.11%
0.05%
Arsenal
1-04.41%
2-01.97%
2-14.17%
3-00.59%
3-11.24%
3-21.31%
4-00.13%
4-10.28%
4-20.29%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-04.94%
1-19.33%
2-24.41%
3-30.93%
4-40.11%
Liverpool
0-110.44%
0-211.04%
1-29.87%
0-37.78%
1-36.95%
2-33.11%
0-44.11%
1-43.68%
2-41.64%
3-40.49%
0-51.74%
1-51.56%
2-50.70%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Liverpool
Score012345
0
24.83%
24.32%
11.90%
3.89%
0.95%
0.19%
1
10.28%
10.06%
4.93%
1.61%
0.39%
0.08%
2
2.13%
2.08%
1.02%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.29%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-010.28%
2-02.13%
2-12.08%
3-00.29%
3-10.29%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-024.83%
1-110.06%
2-21.02%
Liverpool
0-124.32%
0-211.90%
1-24.93%
0-33.89%
1-31.61%
2-30.33%
0-40.95%
1-40.39%
0-50.19%