Wolves at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

18.9%23.5%57.5%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.74
0Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fulham+150
L 0-3 at Newcastle United+335
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United-210
W 2-1 at Tottenham+435
L 2-0 vs Brentford+122
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Ham United+170
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+155
W 3-2 at Luton Town-145
W 2-4 vs Nottingham Forest-177
W 2-1 at Fulham+133

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+370+513+475+540+523+540+540+562.5
Aston Villa-155-183-190-187-186-187-183-169.9
Draw+330+335+350+340+346+340+350+355.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+370-+520+475+350+500+520+562.5
Aston Villa-155--188-200-195-185-185-169.9
Draw+335-+320+325+310+325+325+355.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +560 to +545
Aston Villa ML moved from -165 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Wolves ML
Aston Villa ML moved from -185 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3+105o2¾-122o2¾-119o2¾-118o2¾-119o2¾-118o2¾-110
Underu3+100u3-123u2¾+102u2¾+103u2¾+102u2¾+103u3-123u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+110o2½-145o3+100o3-110o3+115o2½-145o2¾-110
Underu3-105u3-130u2½+125u3-120u3-120u3-135u3-120u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2½+125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.24%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 414.34%
Exactly 63.30%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 119.00%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 57.53%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 041.22%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 017.56%
Exactly 130.54%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 315.41%
Exactly 46.70%
Exactly 52.33%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.65%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 066.34%
Exactly 127.22%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 044.69%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.50%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals6.10%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals32.37%
Wins by 3+ goals14.59%
Wins by 4+ goals5.38%
Wins by 5+ goals1.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal12.80%
Wins by 2 goals4.61%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal25.14%
Wins by 2 goals17.78%
Wins by 3 goals9.21%
Wins by 4 goals3.73%
Wins by 5 goals1.24%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.76%7.24%
1.573.76%26.24%
2.548.81%51.19%
3.526.97%73.03%
4.512.63%87.37%
5.55.10%94.90%
6.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.78%41.22%
1.522.25%77.75%
2.56.06%93.94%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.44%17.56%
1.551.90%48.10%
2.525.33%74.67%
3.59.92%90.08%
4.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.35%29.65%
1.534.31%65.69%
2.512.40%87.60%
3.53.52%96.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.24%
12.59%
10.95%
6.35%
2.76%
0.96%
1
6.41%
11.16%
9.71%
5.63%
2.45%
0.85%
2
2.84%
4.94%
4.30%
2.49%
1.08%
0.38%
3
0.84%
1.46%
1.27%
0.74%
0.32%
0.11%
4
0.19%
0.32%
0.28%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Wolverhampton
1-06.41%
2-02.84%
2-14.94%
3-00.84%
3-11.46%
3-21.27%
4-00.19%
4-10.32%
4-20.28%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.24%
1-111.16%
2-24.30%
3-30.74%
Aston Villa
0-112.59%
0-210.95%
1-29.71%
0-36.35%
1-35.63%
2-32.49%
0-42.76%
1-42.45%
2-41.08%
3-40.32%
0-50.96%
1-50.85%
2-50.38%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.65%
23.88%
9.62%
2.58%
0.52%
1
12.17%
9.80%
3.95%
1.06%
0.21%
2
2.50%
2.01%
0.81%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.34%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Wolverhampton
1-012.17%
2-02.50%
2-12.01%
3-00.34%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.65%
1-19.80%
2-20.81%
Aston Villa
0-123.88%
0-29.62%
1-23.95%
0-32.58%
1-31.06%
2-30.22%
0-40.52%
1-40.21%