Bournemouth at Aston Villa

Updated

Bournemouth

12.4%18.6%69.0%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.18
0Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Bournemouth
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+635
L 2-3 at Arsenal+1300
L 4-1 vs Manchester City+860
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton+375
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+510
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Ham United+225
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+118
W 2-0 at Everton+191
L 4-2 vs Arsenal+355
L 1-3 at Manchester City+946

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+402+393+370+400+404+400+404+417.1
Aston Villa-144-137-140-135-133-135-133-125.0
Draw+298+285+290+285+285+285+290+298.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+385-+385-+345+380+385+417.1
Aston Villa-185--140--165-140-140-125.0
Draw+265-+280-+255+285+285+298.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +415 to +409
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +375 to +365
Aston Villa ML moved from -130 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-110o2½-112o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½+101u2½-104u2½-108u2½-104u2½-105u2½-104u2½-104u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-105o2½-108-o2½-115o2½-110o2½-105o2½-104
Underu2½-110u2½-115u2½-112-u2½-115u2½-110u2½-110u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.07%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 416.71%
Exactly 64.95%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.11%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.97%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 044.95%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 214.37%
Exactly 33.83%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 011.27%
Exactly 124.60%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 319.54%
Exactly 410.67%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.13%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.03%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 069.06%
Exactly 125.57%
Exactly 24.73%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 036.39%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.59%
Exactly 36.26%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals3.57%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals45.02%
Wins by 3+ goals24.20%
Wins by 4+ goals10.84%
Wins by 5+ goals4.11%
Wins by 6+ goals1.33%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Bournemouth
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal8.78%
Wins by 2 goals2.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.97%
Wins by 2 goals20.82%
Wins by 3 goals13.36%
Wins by 4 goals6.73%
Wins by 5 goals2.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.97%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.93%5.07%
1.579.83%20.17%
2.557.29%42.71%
3.534.89%65.11%
4.518.18%81.82%
5.58.22%91.78%
6.53.26%96.74%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.05%44.95%
1.519.11%80.89%
2.54.74%95.26%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.73%11.27%
1.564.13%35.87%
2.537.27%62.73%
3.517.73%82.27%
4.57.07%92.93%
5.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.87%25.13%
1.540.16%59.84%
2.516.19%83.81%
3.55.16%94.84%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.07%
11.06%
12.07%
8.78%
4.79%
2.09%
1
4.05%
8.84%
9.65%
7.02%
3.83%
1.67%
2
1.62%
3.54%
3.86%
2.81%
1.53%
0.67%
3
0.43%
0.94%
1.03%
0.75%
0.41%
0.18%
Bournemouth
1-04.05%
2-01.62%
2-13.54%
3-00.43%
3-10.94%
3-21.03%
Draw
0-05.07%
1-18.84%
2-23.86%
3-30.75%
Aston Villa
0-111.06%
0-212.07%
1-29.65%
0-38.78%
1-37.02%
2-32.81%
0-44.79%
1-43.83%
2-41.53%
3-40.41%
0-52.09%
1-51.67%
2-50.67%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
25.13%
25.40%
12.84%
4.33%
1.09%
0.22%
1
9.30%
9.41%
4.75%
1.60%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.72%
1.74%
0.88%
0.30%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Bournemouth
1-09.30%
2-01.72%
2-11.74%
3-00.21%
3-10.21%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.13%
1-19.41%
2-20.88%
Aston Villa
0-125.40%
0-212.84%
1-24.75%
0-34.33%
1-31.60%
2-30.30%
0-41.09%
1-40.40%
0-50.22%