Aston Villa at Everton

Updated

Aston Villa

31.8%26.7%41.5%
Aston Villa WinDrawEverton Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.36
2Final Score 0

Everton

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Arsenal+355
L 1-3 at Manchester City+946
L 4-2 vs Leicester City+110
W 1-0 at Southampton+175
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-102
Everton
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+170
L 0-2 at Liverpool+475
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+703
L 0-2 at West Ham United+370
L 2-1 vs Southampton+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+160+197+195+202+200+202+202+212.8
Everton+175+161+155+157+155+157+161+166.2
Draw+230+213+215+217+219+217+219+228.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+200-+191-+170+190+191+212.8
Everton+145-+151-+135+160+160+166.2
Draw+225-+222-+200+210+222+228.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +199 to +190
Everton ML moved from +169 to +163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +190 to +182
Everton ML moved from +162 to +156

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120o2-133o2¼+108o2-125o2½+147o2-125o2¼+106o2-116
Underu2¼+100u2+113u2¼-128u2+109u2½-162u2+109u2½-149u2+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2-135o2-128-o2-135o2-130o2-128o2-116
Underu2½-145u2+115u2+108-u2+105u2+110u2+115u2+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.08%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 413.48%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.33%
Exactly 321.44%
Exactly 56.78%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Everton
Exactly 025.65%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.20%
Exactly 221.16%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton
Exactly 053.27%
Exactly 133.55%
Exactly 210.57%
Exactly 32.22%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals12.88%
Wins by 3+ goals4.05%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Everton
Wins by 2+ goals19.23%
Wins by 3+ goals6.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Everton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal18.86%
Wins by 2 goals8.83%
Wins by 3 goals3.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Everton
Wins by 1 goal22.22%
Wins by 2 goals12.25%
Wins by 3 goals4.95%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.92%8.08%
1.571.59%28.41%
2.546.02%53.98%
3.524.58%75.42%
4.511.09%88.91%
5.54.31%95.69%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.50%31.50%
1.532.11%67.89%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Everton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.35%25.65%
1.539.44%60.56%
2.515.70%84.30%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.80%31.20%
1.532.46%67.54%
2.511.30%88.70%
3.53.08%96.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Everton
Score012345
0
8.08%
10.99%
7.48%
3.39%
1.15%
0.31%
1
9.34%
12.70%
8.64%
3.92%
1.33%
0.36%
2
5.39%
7.34%
4.99%
2.26%
0.77%
0.21%
3
2.08%
2.82%
1.92%
0.87%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.60%
0.82%
0.55%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.19%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-09.34%
2-05.39%
2-17.34%
3-02.08%
3-12.82%
3-21.92%
4-00.60%
4-10.82%
4-20.55%
4-30.25%
5-00.14%
5-10.19%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.08%
1-112.70%
2-24.99%
3-30.87%
Everton
0-110.99%
0-27.48%
1-28.64%
0-33.39%
1-33.92%
2-32.26%
0-41.15%
1-41.33%
2-40.77%
3-40.30%
0-50.31%
1-50.36%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Everton
Score01234
0
31.20%
19.65%
6.19%
1.30%
0.20%
1
16.69%
10.51%
3.31%
0.70%
0.11%
2
4.46%
2.81%
0.89%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.80%
0.50%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-016.69%
2-04.46%
2-12.81%
3-00.80%
3-10.50%
3-20.16%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-031.20%
1-110.51%
2-20.89%
Everton
0-119.65%
0-26.19%
1-23.31%
0-31.30%
1-30.70%
2-30.19%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%