Leeds United at Aston Villa

Updated

Leeds United

15.3%19.9%64.8%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.91Projected Goals 2.10
1Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
T 2-2 vs West Ham United+180
T 0-0 at Newcastle United+580
L 3-1 vs Manchester City+900
L 3-4 at Tottenham+440
W 3-4 vs Bournemouth-159
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton-105
W 2-0 at Tottenham+420
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+360
W 2-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+400
W 1-3 vs Manchester United+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+280+277+285+285+287+285+287+294.9
Aston Villa-105+101+100+102+104+102+104+108.1
Draw+260+261+245+260+268+260+268+275.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+295-+275-+265+280+280+294.9
Aston Villa-110--102--125-105-102+108.1
Draw+260-+256-+235+260+260+275.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +286 to +280
Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +294 to +280
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-136o2¾-105o2½-120o2½-127o2½-120o2½-120o2½-119
Underu2¾-118u2½+114u2¾-115u2½+104u2½+112u2½+104u2¾-115u2½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-145o2½-130-o2½-140o2½-125o2½-125o2½-119
Underu2½+105u2½+125u2½+110-u2½+110u2½+105u2½+125u2½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.92%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 416.87%
Exactly 65.10%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.82%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.16%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 040.23%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.68%
Exactly 35.06%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 012.24%
Exactly 125.70%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.91%
Exactly 49.93%
Exactly 54.17%
Exactly 61.46%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.80%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.58%
Exactly 311.20%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 065.60%
Exactly 127.65%
Exactly 25.83%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 037.81%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.88%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals4.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals40.81%
Wins by 3+ goals21.14%
Wins by 4+ goals9.12%
Wins by 5+ goals3.33%
Wins by 6+ goals1.03%
Wins by 7+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal10.37%
Wins by 2 goals3.69%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.94%
Wins by 2 goals19.67%
Wins by 3 goals12.02%
Wins by 4 goals5.79%
Wins by 5 goals2.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.77%
Wins by 7 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.08%4.92%
1.580.25%19.75%
2.557.93%42.07%
3.535.53%64.47%
4.518.66%81.34%
5.58.51%91.49%
6.53.41%96.59%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.77%40.23%
1.523.13%76.87%
2.56.46%93.54%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.76%12.24%
1.562.06%37.94%
2.535.06%64.94%
3.516.15%83.85%
4.56.22%93.78%
5.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.20%24.80%
1.540.62%59.38%
2.516.51%83.49%
3.55.31%94.69%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
4.92%
10.34%
10.86%
7.61%
4.00%
1.68%
1
4.48%
9.42%
9.89%
6.93%
3.64%
1.53%
2
2.04%
4.29%
4.50%
3.15%
1.66%
0.70%
3
0.62%
1.30%
1.37%
0.96%
0.50%
0.21%
4
0.14%
0.30%
0.31%
0.22%
0.11%
0.05%
Leeds United
1-04.48%
2-02.04%
2-14.29%
3-00.62%
3-11.30%
3-21.37%
4-00.14%
4-10.30%
4-20.31%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-04.92%
1-19.42%
2-24.50%
3-30.96%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-110.34%
0-210.86%
1-29.89%
0-37.61%
1-36.93%
2-33.15%
0-44.00%
1-43.64%
2-41.66%
3-40.50%
0-51.68%
1-51.53%
2-50.70%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
24.80%
24.13%
11.73%
3.80%
0.93%
0.18%
1
10.46%
10.17%
4.95%
1.60%
0.39%
0.08%
2
2.20%
2.14%
1.04%
0.34%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.30%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-010.46%
2-02.20%
2-12.14%
3-00.31%
3-10.30%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-024.80%
1-110.17%
2-21.04%
Aston Villa
0-124.13%
0-211.73%
1-24.95%
0-33.80%
1-31.60%
2-30.34%
0-40.93%
1-40.39%
0-50.18%