Norwich City at Aston Villa

Updated

Norwich City

8.4%14.9%76.7%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.52
0Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Norwich City
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Newcastle United+250
L 2-3 at Manchester United+1445
W 0-2 vs Burnley+220
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+665
L 1-2 at Leeds United+440
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 0-0 at Leicester City+144
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+235
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+160
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+200
L 1-2 at West Ham United+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+600+625+690+697+685+690+697+720.0
Aston Villa-230-245-245-234-240-245-234-216.7
Draw+350+380+400+403+345+400+403+415.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+700-+615-+580+700+700+720.0
Aston Villa-260--238--300-260-238-216.7
Draw+390-+380-+340+390+390+415.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +675 to +665
Aston Villa ML moved from -235 to -245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +740 to +615
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-7.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o3+105o2¾-121o2½-147-o2¾-121o2½-147o3+114
Underu2¾-115u3-125u2¾+105u2½+132-u2¾+105u3-125u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3+110o2½-110-o3-110o3+100o2½-110o3+114
Underu2½+120u3-130u2½-110-u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-110
The Under moved from u3-122 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.97%
Exactly 220.66%
Exactly 417.93%
Exactly 66.22%
Exactly 81.16%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.81%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 511.57%
Exactly 72.87%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 049.22%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.37%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 08.06%
Exactly 120.30%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 413.50%
Exactly 56.80%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 71.03%
Exactly 80.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.45%
Exactly 225.05%
Exactly 44.66%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.54%
Exactly 312.48%
Exactly 51.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 072.02%
Exactly 123.64%
Exactly 23.88%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 031.17%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals2.11%
Wins by 3+ goals0.38%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals54.61%
Wins by 3+ goals32.66%
Wins by 4+ goals16.46%
Wins by 5+ goals7.06%
Wins by 6+ goals2.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.78%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Norwich City
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal6.18%
Wins by 2 goals1.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.99%
Wins by 2 goals21.95%
Wins by 3 goals16.20%
Wins by 4 goals9.40%
Wins by 5 goals4.48%
Wins by 6 goals1.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.62%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.03%3.97%
1.583.23%16.77%
2.562.57%37.43%
3.540.34%59.66%
4.522.42%77.58%
5.510.85%89.15%
6.54.63%95.37%
7.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.78%49.22%
1.515.89%84.11%
2.53.52%96.48%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.94%8.06%
1.571.64%28.36%
2.546.08%53.92%
3.524.63%75.37%
4.511.12%88.88%
5.54.32%95.68%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.55%22.45%
1.544.02%55.98%
2.518.96%81.04%
3.56.49%93.51%
4.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Norwich City
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
3.97%
9.99%
12.58%
10.56%
6.65%
3.35%
1
2.81%
7.08%
8.92%
7.48%
4.71%
2.37%
2
1.00%
2.51%
3.16%
2.65%
1.67%
0.84%
3
0.24%
0.59%
0.75%
0.63%
0.39%
0.20%
Norwich City
1-02.81%
2-01.00%
2-12.51%
3-00.24%
3-10.59%
3-20.75%
Draw
0-03.97%
1-17.08%
2-23.16%
3-30.63%
Aston Villa
0-19.99%
0-212.58%
1-28.92%
0-310.56%
1-37.48%
2-32.65%
0-46.65%
1-44.71%
2-41.67%
3-40.39%
0-53.35%
1-52.37%
2-50.84%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Norwich City
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
22.45%
26.17%
15.25%
5.93%
1.73%
0.40%
1
7.37%
8.59%
5.01%
1.95%
0.57%
0.13%
2
1.21%
1.41%
0.82%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-07.37%
2-01.21%
2-11.41%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-022.45%
1-18.59%
2-20.82%
Aston Villa
0-126.17%
0-215.25%
1-25.01%
0-35.93%
1-31.95%
2-30.32%
0-41.73%
1-40.57%
0-50.40%
1-50.13%