Tottenham at Aston Villa

Updated

Tottenham

31.8%25.7%42.5%
Tottenham WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.46
4Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Tottenham
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Newcastle United-185
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-139
W 2-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+108
L 2-3 at Manchester United+205
W 0-5 vs Everton-155
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+160
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+200
L 1-2 at West Ham United+190
W 3-0 at Leeds United+147
W 0-4 vs Southampton+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tottenham+120+115+114+121+109+114+121+123.1
Aston Villa+230+230+250+244+233+250+250+257.2
Draw+225+250+255+261+254+255+261+267.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tottenham+120-+115-+100+115+115+123.1
Aston Villa+220-+232-+205+235+235+257.2
Draw+250-+248-+235+250+250+267.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tottenham: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tottenham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tottenham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tottenham ML moved from +128 to +120
Aston Villa ML moved from +249 to +243

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tottenham: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tottenham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tottenham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tottenham ML moved from +120 to +110
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-115o2½-112o2½-110-o2½-112o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½-112u2½-105u2½-104u2½-105-u2½-104u2½-104u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-130o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-125o2½-120o2½-104
Underu2½+100u2½+110u2½+100-u2½-110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.83%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 414.77%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.33%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.93%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Tottenham
Exactly 029.38%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 023.25%
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 312.03%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 51.28%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.86%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.23%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tottenham
Exactly 056.71%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.12%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 050.89%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 211.61%
Exactly 32.61%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tottenham
Wins by 2+ goals13.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals20.51%
Wins by 3+ goals7.82%
Wins by 4+ goals2.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Tottenham
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Tottenham
Wins by 1 goal18.43%
Wins by 2 goals8.95%
Wins by 3 goals3.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.95%
Wins by 2 goals12.69%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.17%6.83%
1.574.84%25.16%
2.550.24%49.76%
3.528.24%71.76%
4.513.47%86.53%
5.55.54%94.46%
6.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Tottenham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.62%29.38%
1.534.64%65.36%
2.512.60%87.40%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.75%23.25%
1.542.83%57.17%
2.518.09%81.91%
3.56.06%93.94%
4.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.14%28.86%
1.535.27%64.73%
2.512.99%87.01%
3.53.76%96.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.83%
9.96%
7.27%
3.53%
1.29%
0.38%
1
8.37%
12.21%
8.90%
4.33%
1.58%
0.46%
2
5.12%
7.48%
5.45%
2.65%
0.97%
0.28%
3
2.09%
3.05%
2.23%
1.08%
0.39%
0.12%
4
0.64%
0.93%
0.68%
0.33%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.16%
0.23%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Tottenham
1-08.37%
2-05.12%
2-17.48%
3-02.09%
3-13.05%
3-22.23%
4-00.64%
4-10.93%
4-20.68%
4-30.33%
5-00.16%
5-10.23%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-06.83%
1-112.21%
2-25.45%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
Aston Villa
0-19.96%
0-27.27%
1-28.90%
0-33.53%
1-34.33%
2-32.65%
0-41.29%
1-41.58%
2-40.97%
3-40.39%
0-50.38%
1-50.46%
2-50.28%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
28.86%
19.50%
6.58%
1.48%
0.25%
1
16.37%
11.06%
3.73%
0.84%
0.14%
2
4.64%
3.14%
1.06%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.88%
0.59%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Tottenham
1-016.37%
2-04.64%
2-13.14%
3-00.88%
3-10.59%
3-20.20%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-028.86%
1-111.06%
2-21.06%
Aston Villa
0-119.50%
0-26.58%
1-23.73%
0-31.48%
1-30.84%
2-30.24%
0-40.25%
1-40.14%