Aston Villa at Leeds United

Updated

Aston Villa

24.9%24.9%50.1%
Aston Villa WinDrawLeeds United Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.60
3Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Southampton+125
W 2-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+250
L 1-0 vs Watford-155
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+158
T 3-3 vs Leeds United-102
Leeds United
Money Line
L 0-1 at Leicester City+317
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+310
L 0-6 at Liverpool+1450
L 4-2 vs Manchester United+400
L 0-3 at Everton+182

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+150+145+145+153+140+145+153+158.7
Leeds United+185+185+180+186+178+180+186+192.2
Draw+220+235+270+263+252+270+270+268.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+155-+147-+135+145+147+158.7
Leeds United+170-+175-+150+185+185+192.2
Draw+250-+244-+235+240+244+268.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leeds United: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +146 to +140
Leeds United ML moved from +170 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leeds United: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +160 to +150
Leeds United ML moved from +168 to +162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-111o2½-139-o2¾-111o2½-139o2½-128
Underu2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2½+124-u2¾-105u2¾-105u2½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½-135o2½-140-o2½-145o2½-140o2½-135o2½-128
Underu3-135u2½+115u2½+120-u2½+115u2½+120u2½+120u2½+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.05%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 414.54%
Exactly 63.41%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.69%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 57.71%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 034.92%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 020.18%
Exactly 132.30%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 313.79%
Exactly 45.52%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.28%
Exactly 222.08%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.04%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 061.44%
Exactly 129.93%
Exactly 27.29%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 047.66%
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 213.09%
Exactly 33.23%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals9.20%
Wins by 3+ goals2.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals26.23%
Wins by 3+ goals10.94%
Wins by 4+ goals3.73%
Wins by 5+ goals1.05%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal15.68%
Wins by 2 goals6.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals7.22%
Wins by 4 goals2.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.95%7.05%
1.574.26%25.74%
2.549.47%50.53%
3.527.55%72.45%
4.513.01%86.99%
5.55.30%94.70%
6.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.08%34.92%
1.528.34%71.66%
2.59.01%90.99%
3.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.82%20.18%
1.547.52%52.48%
2.521.68%78.32%
3.57.89%92.11%
4.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.72%29.28%
1.534.75%65.25%
2.512.67%87.33%
3.53.63%96.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Leeds United
Score012345
0
7.05%
11.28%
9.03%
4.81%
1.93%
0.62%
1
7.41%
11.87%
9.50%
5.07%
2.03%
0.65%
2
3.90%
6.24%
5.00%
2.66%
1.07%
0.34%
3
1.37%
2.19%
1.75%
0.93%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.36%
0.58%
0.46%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-07.41%
2-03.90%
2-16.24%
3-01.37%
3-12.19%
3-21.75%
4-00.36%
4-10.58%
4-20.46%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.05%
1-111.87%
2-25.00%
3-30.93%
Leeds United
0-111.28%
0-29.03%
1-29.50%
0-34.81%
1-35.07%
2-32.66%
0-41.93%
1-42.03%
2-41.07%
3-40.37%
0-50.62%
1-50.65%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Leeds United
Score01234
0
29.28%
21.70%
8.04%
1.99%
0.37%
1
14.27%
10.57%
3.92%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.47%
2.57%
0.95%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.56%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-014.27%
2-03.47%
2-12.57%
3-00.56%
3-10.42%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.28%
1-110.57%
2-20.95%
Leeds United
0-121.70%
0-28.04%
1-23.92%
0-31.99%
1-30.97%
2-30.24%
0-40.37%
1-40.18%