Chelsea at Liverpool

Updated

Chelsea

14.3%19.9%65.8%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.08
1Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest-200
W 2-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-130
W 3-0 at West Ham United+100
W 1-0 at Bournemouth+120
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-160
Liverpool
Money Line
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-155
W 2-1 at Wolverhampton-329
W 0-3 vs Bournemouth-380
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest-450
W 3-0 at Manchester United-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+355+357+340+377+360+377+377+393.7
Liverpool-143-147-150-152-158-152-147-139.7
Draw+333+342+350+350+344+350+350+365.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+375-+370+375+380+425+380+393.7
Liverpool-150--159-170-210-175-159-139.7
Draw+320-+343+320+315+350+350+365.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +350 to +340
Liverpool ML moved from -162 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +400 to +375
Liverpool ML moved from -175 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+104o3½-103o3½-110o3½-101o3¼-122o3½-101o3¼-122o3½+106
Underu3½-122u3½-114u3½-110u3½-115u3¼+100u3½-115u3½-110u3½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½-105o3½-105o3½+100o3½-110o3½-105o3½+100o3½+106
Underu3½-130u3½-115u3½-115u3½-120u3½-120u3½-115u3½-115u3½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-122 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+100 to o3½-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.32%
Exactly 222.90%
Exactly 416.42%
Exactly 64.71%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.61%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.63%
Exactly 71.97%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 042.69%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.47%
Exactly 34.39%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 012.47%
Exactly 125.96%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.75%
Exactly 49.76%
Exactly 54.06%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.72%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 310.74%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 067.43%
Exactly 126.57%
Exactly 25.24%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 038.14%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.72%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals4.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals41.54%
Wins by 3+ goals21.48%
Wins by 4+ goals9.24%
Wins by 5+ goals3.35%
Wins by 6+ goals1.04%
Wins by 7+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Liverpool
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal9.92%
Wins by 2 goals3.35%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.27%
Wins by 2 goals20.05%
Wins by 3 goals12.25%
Wins by 4 goals5.88%
Wins by 5 goals2.32%
Wins by 6 goals0.77%
Wins by 7 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.68%5.32%
1.579.06%20.94%
2.556.17%43.83%
3.533.78%66.22%
4.517.36%82.64%
5.57.73%92.27%
6.53.03%96.97%
7.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.31%42.69%
1.520.97%79.03%
2.55.51%94.49%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.53%12.47%
1.561.57%38.43%
2.534.55%65.45%
3.515.80%84.20%
4.56.04%93.96%
5.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.28%25.72%
1.539.36%60.64%
2.515.65%84.35%
3.54.91%95.09%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Liverpool
Score012345
0
5.32%
11.08%
11.54%
8.01%
4.17%
1.74%
1
4.53%
9.43%
9.82%
6.81%
3.55%
1.48%
2
1.93%
4.01%
4.18%
2.90%
1.51%
0.63%
3
0.55%
1.14%
1.19%
0.82%
0.43%
0.18%
4
0.12%
0.24%
0.25%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Chelsea
1-04.53%
2-01.93%
2-14.01%
3-00.55%
3-11.14%
3-21.19%
4-00.12%
4-10.24%
4-20.25%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.32%
1-19.43%
2-24.18%
3-30.82%
Liverpool
0-111.08%
0-211.54%
1-29.82%
0-38.01%
1-36.81%
2-32.90%
0-44.17%
1-43.55%
2-41.51%
3-40.43%
0-51.74%
1-51.48%
2-50.63%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Liverpool
Score012345
0
25.72%
24.79%
11.95%
3.84%
0.93%
0.18%
1
10.13%
9.77%
4.71%
1.51%
0.36%
0.07%
2
2.00%
1.93%
0.93%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-010.13%
2-02.00%
2-11.93%
3-00.26%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.72%
1-19.77%
2-20.93%
Liverpool
0-124.79%
0-211.95%
1-24.71%
0-33.84%
1-31.51%
2-30.30%
0-40.93%
1-40.36%
0-50.18%