Chelsea at Bournemouth

Updated

Chelsea

48.5%26.2%25.3%
Chelsea WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.48Projected Goals 0.99
1Final Score 0

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-160
W 6-2 at Wolverhampton-115
L 2-0 vs Manchester City+270
W 1-2 vs Bournemouth-225
W 2-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+102
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 3-2 at Everton+145
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+200
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+219
L 1-2 at Chelsea+575
L 2-1 vs Brentford+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+108+122+120+122+123+122+123+129.7
Bournemouth+233+207+200+208+205+208+208+218.7
Draw+287+280+280+285+279+285+285+298.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+105-+112+100-110+120+120+129.7
Bournemouth+225-+213+200+210+205+213+218.7
Draw+290-+282+280+285+275+285+298.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +100 to -105
Bournemouth ML moved from +227 to +208

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML
Bournemouth ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-136o3½+118o3¼-105o3¼-108o3¼-103o3¼-108o3¼-103o3¼+100
Underu3+116u3½-139u3¼-115u3¼-108u3¼-111u3¼-108u3½-139u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3½+115o3½+115o3½+115o3½+100o3½+115o3½+115o3¼+100
Underu3-110u3½-135u3½-135u3½-135u3½-130u3½-135u3½-130u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-114 to o3½-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.47%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 413.10%
Exactly 62.66%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.92%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 56.47%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 022.81%
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 312.27%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 51.34%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 037.16%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.21%
Exactly 36.01%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.89%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 050.44%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 211.81%
Exactly 32.69%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 063.23%
Exactly 128.98%
Exactly 26.64%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals24.16%
Wins by 3+ goals9.47%
Wins by 4+ goals2.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals9.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals14.68%
Wins by 3 goals6.49%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal16.22%
Wins by 2 goals6.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.53%8.47%
1.570.61%29.39%
2.544.80%55.20%
3.523.56%76.44%
4.510.46%89.54%
5.53.99%96.01%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.19%22.81%
1.543.48%56.52%
2.518.57%81.43%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.84%37.16%
1.526.06%73.94%
2.57.85%92.15%
3.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.11%31.89%
1.531.66%68.34%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
8.47%
8.39%
4.15%
1.37%
0.34%
1
12.53%
12.40%
6.14%
2.03%
0.50%
2
9.26%
9.16%
4.54%
1.50%
0.37%
3
4.56%
4.52%
2.24%
0.74%
0.18%
4
1.69%
1.67%
0.83%
0.27%
0.07%
5
0.50%
0.49%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.53%
2-09.26%
2-19.16%
3-04.56%
3-14.52%
3-22.24%
4-01.69%
4-11.67%
4-20.83%
4-30.27%
5-00.50%
5-10.49%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.47%
1-112.40%
2-24.54%
3-30.74%
Bournemouth
0-18.39%
0-24.15%
1-26.14%
0-31.37%
1-32.03%
2-31.50%
0-40.34%
1-40.50%
2-40.37%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
31.89%
14.62%
3.35%
0.51%
1
21.83%
10.01%
2.29%
0.35%
2
7.47%
3.42%
0.78%
0.12%
3
1.70%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.29%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-021.83%
2-07.47%
2-13.42%
3-01.70%
3-10.78%
3-20.18%
4-00.29%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.89%
1-110.01%
2-20.78%
Bournemouth
0-114.62%
0-23.35%
1-22.29%
0-30.51%
1-30.35%
2-30.12%