Newcastle Utd at Bournemouth

Updated

Newcastle United

37.4%28.4%34.3%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 1

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Southampton-280
W 4-2 at Brentford+125
L 2-3 at Manchester United+140
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-170
W 4-1 at Burnley+100
Bournemouth
Money Line
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+219
L 1-2 at Chelsea+575
L 2-1 vs Brentford+110
L 0-3 at Arsenal+1171
W 0-3 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+120+165+160+168+171+168+171+177.5
Bournemouth+224+157+155+157+154+157+157+166.1
Draw+268+267+270+266+268+266+270+279.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+120-+170+115+145+165+170+177.5
Bournemouth+205-+152+200+135+150+200+166.1
Draw+275-+250+270+240+265+265+279.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +123 to +117
Bournemouth ML moved from +173 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Bournemouth: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +125 to +115
Bournemouth ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+104o3-118o3-108o3-112o3-110o3-112o3-108o3-104
Underu3¼-120u3+100u3-112u3-104u3-104u3-104u3+100u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-115o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-120o3-110o3-104
Underu3+100u3-105u3-110u3-110u3-120u3+100u3+100u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.05%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.67%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 030.73%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 38.41%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 032.72%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.42%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 057.91%
Exactly 131.63%
Exactly 28.64%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 059.61%
Exactly 130.84%
Exactly 27.98%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals15.74%
Wins by 3+ goals5.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals13.71%
Wins by 3+ goals4.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal21.60%
Wins by 2 goals10.63%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal20.46%
Wins by 2 goals9.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.95%10.05%
1.566.85%33.15%
2.540.32%59.68%
3.520.01%79.99%
4.58.34%91.66%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.27%30.73%
1.533.01%66.99%
2.511.62%88.38%
3.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.28%32.72%
1.530.73%69.27%
2.510.31%89.69%
3.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
10.05%
11.23%
6.28%
2.34%
0.65%
0.15%
1
11.86%
13.25%
7.40%
2.76%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.00%
7.82%
4.37%
1.63%
0.45%
0.10%
3
2.75%
3.08%
1.72%
0.64%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.81%
0.91%
0.51%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.21%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-011.86%
2-07.00%
2-17.82%
3-02.75%
3-13.08%
3-21.72%
4-00.81%
4-10.91%
4-20.51%
4-30.19%
5-00.19%
5-10.21%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.05%
1-113.25%
2-24.37%
3-30.64%
Bournemouth
0-111.23%
0-26.28%
1-27.40%
0-32.34%
1-32.76%
2-31.63%
0-40.65%
1-40.77%
2-40.45%
3-40.18%
0-50.15%
1-50.17%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
34.52%
17.86%
4.62%
0.80%
0.10%
1
18.86%
9.76%
2.52%
0.44%
0.06%
2
5.15%
2.66%
0.69%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.94%
0.49%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-018.86%
2-05.15%
2-12.66%
3-00.94%
3-10.49%
3-20.13%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-034.52%
1-19.76%
2-20.69%
Bournemouth
0-117.86%
0-24.62%
1-22.52%
0-30.80%
1-30.44%
2-30.12%
0-40.10%