Brighton at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

24.5%25.5%50.0%
Brighton WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.55
1Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa+170
L 0-3 at Bournemouth+250
L 4-0 vs Manchester City+720
T 1-1 at Burnley+100
L 3-0 vs Arsenal+550
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 4-1 at Burnley+100
W 1-5 vs Sheffield United-460
L 0-2 at Crystal Palace+125
W 0-4 vs Tottenham+165
W 1-0 at Fulham+182

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+381+392+370+415+402+415+415+432.9
Newcastle Utd-160-166-170-167-167-167-166-152.8
Draw+361+371+380+365+376+365+380+381.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+400-+400+380+350+370+400+432.9
Newcastle Utd-185--181-185-210-170-170-152.8
Draw+400-+380+380+340+380+380+381.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 40.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +380 to +370
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -165 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 40.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +400 to +370
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -169 to -181

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3½-108o3½-110o3½-105o3½-104o3½-105o3½-104o3½+103
Underu3½-108u3½-108u3½-110u3½-111u3½-110u3½-111u3½-108u3½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-120o3½-107o3½-120o3½-125o3½-110o3½-107o3½+103
Underu3½-105u3½+100u3½-113u3½+100u3½-105u3½-110u3½+100u3½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-120 to u3½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.82%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 413.75%
Exactly 62.98%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.92%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 57.01%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 036.74%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.42%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 021.27%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 313.15%
Exactly 45.09%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.72%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 062.91%
Exactly 129.16%
Exactly 26.76%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 048.84%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.54%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals8.76%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals25.66%
Wins by 3+ goals10.42%
Wins by 4+ goals3.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal15.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals15.24%
Wins by 3 goals7.02%
Wins by 4 goals2.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.18%7.82%
1.572.26%27.74%
2.546.87%53.13%
3.525.29%74.71%
4.511.55%88.45%
5.54.54%95.46%
6.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.26%36.74%
1.526.47%73.53%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.73%21.27%
1.545.80%54.20%
2.520.32%79.68%
3.57.18%92.82%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.28%30.72%
1.533.02%66.98%
2.511.62%88.38%
3.53.21%96.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.82%
12.10%
9.36%
4.83%
1.87%
0.58%
1
7.83%
12.11%
9.37%
4.84%
1.87%
0.58%
2
3.92%
6.06%
4.69%
2.42%
0.94%
0.29%
3
1.31%
2.02%
1.57%
0.81%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.33%
0.51%
0.39%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-07.83%
2-03.92%
2-16.06%
3-01.31%
3-12.02%
3-21.57%
4-00.33%
4-10.51%
4-20.39%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.82%
1-112.11%
2-24.69%
3-30.81%
Newcastle United
0-112.10%
0-29.36%
1-29.37%
0-34.83%
1-34.84%
2-32.42%
0-41.87%
1-41.87%
2-40.94%
3-40.31%
0-50.58%
1-50.58%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
30.72%
22.02%
7.89%
1.88%
0.34%
1
14.24%
10.21%
3.66%
0.87%
0.16%
2
3.30%
2.37%
0.85%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.51%
0.37%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-014.24%
2-03.30%
2-12.37%
3-00.51%
3-10.37%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.72%
1-110.21%
2-20.85%
Newcastle United
0-122.02%
0-27.89%
1-23.66%
0-31.88%
1-30.87%
2-30.20%
0-40.34%
1-40.16%