Arsenal at Brighton

Updated

Arsenal

49.5%25.5%25.0%
Arsenal WinDrawBrighton Win
1.55Projected Goals 1.02
3Final Score 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Luton Town-800
T 0-0 at Manchester City+280
W 1-2 vs Brentford-500
W 6-0 at Sheffield United-585
W 1-4 vs Newcastle United-315
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 0-0 at Brentford+175
L 1-2 at Liverpool+800
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest-140
L 0-3 at Fulham+175
T 1-1 vs Everton-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-158-200-195-200-184-200-184-180.9
Brighton+417+549+475+562+516+562+562+585.2
Draw+328+356+370+360+344+360+370+376.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-195--214-185-185-195-185-180.9
Brighton+375-+550+380+365+515+550+585.2
Draw+290-+360+315+280+345+360+376.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -184 to -198
Brighton ML moved from +500 to +475

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -206 to -214
Brighton ML moved from +375 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-133o3+102o3+102o2¾-123o2¾-113o2¾-123o2¾-113o2¾-114
Underu3+113u3-120u3-122u2¾+107u2¾-101u2¾+107u3-120u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+105o3+105o3+100o3-110o2½-145o2½-145o2¾-114
Underu3-125u3-125u3-125u3-120u3-120u2½+125u3-120u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+105
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.65%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.92%
Exactly 63.07%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.66%
Exactly 321.66%
Exactly 57.16%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 021.26%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 313.15%
Exactly 45.09%
Exactly 51.58%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 035.97%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.80%
Exactly 36.41%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 048.83%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.55%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 062.29%
Exactly 129.49%
Exactly 26.98%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals25.34%
Wins by 3+ goals10.27%
Wins by 4+ goals3.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals9.09%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.04%
Wins by 2 goals15.07%
Wins by 3 goals6.92%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.72%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal15.88%
Wins by 2 goals6.57%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.35%7.65%
1.572.69%27.31%
2.547.42%52.58%
3.525.77%74.23%
4.511.85%88.15%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.74%21.26%
1.545.82%54.18%
2.520.34%79.66%
3.57.18%92.82%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.03%35.97%
1.527.25%72.75%
2.58.45%91.55%
3.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
7.65%
7.82%
4.00%
1.36%
0.35%
1
11.84%
12.11%
6.19%
2.11%
0.54%
2
9.17%
9.37%
4.79%
1.63%
0.42%
3
4.73%
4.84%
2.47%
0.84%
0.22%
4
1.83%
1.87%
0.96%
0.33%
0.08%
5
0.57%
0.58%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
Arsenal
1-011.84%
2-09.17%
2-19.37%
3-04.73%
3-14.84%
3-22.47%
4-01.83%
4-11.87%
4-20.96%
4-30.33%
5-00.57%
5-10.58%
5-20.30%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.65%
1-112.11%
2-24.79%
3-30.84%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-17.82%
0-24.00%
1-26.19%
0-31.36%
1-32.11%
2-31.63%
0-40.35%
1-40.54%
2-40.42%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
30.41%
14.40%
3.41%
0.54%
1
21.80%
10.32%
2.44%
0.39%
2
7.81%
3.70%
0.88%
0.14%
3
1.87%
0.88%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-021.80%
2-07.81%
2-13.70%
3-01.87%
3-10.88%
3-20.21%
4-00.33%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-030.41%
1-110.32%
2-20.88%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-114.40%
0-23.41%
1-22.44%
0-30.54%
1-30.39%
2-30.14%