Newcastle Utd at Manchester Utd

Updated

Newcastle United

23.7%24.6%51.6%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawManchester Utd Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.64
2Final Score 3

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-170
W 4-1 at Burnley+100
W 1-5 vs Sheffield United-460
L 0-2 at Crystal Palace+125
W 0-4 vs Tottenham+165
Manchester United
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+860
L 0-4 at Crystal Palace+260
T 1-1 vs Burnley-200
W 2-4 vs Sheffield United-330
T 2-2 at Bournemouth+173

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+170+141+125+137+134+137+141+145.3
Manchester Utd+139+170+175+177+176+177+177+186.7
Draw+297+292+310+297+301+297+310+310.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+140-+140+120+120+135+140+145.3
Manchester Utd+160-+165+160+145+175+175+186.7
Draw+300-+287+275+280+285+287+310.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +135 to +125
Manchester Utd ML moved from +180 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +130 to +120
Manchester Utd ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-124o3½-108o3½-110o3½-106o3½-104o3½-106o3½-104o3½+102
Underu3½+106u3½-108u3½-110u3½-110u3½-110u3½-110u3½-108u3½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½+105o3½-102o3½-110o3½-115o3½-105o3½+105o3½+102
Underu3½+100u3½-125u3½-118u3½-110u3½-115u3½-115u3½-110u3½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-118 to o3½-106
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½+105 to u3½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.00%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 414.58%
Exactly 63.44%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.62%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 57.75%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.94%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.82%
Exactly 36.42%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 019.49%
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 314.20%
Exactly 45.81%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.26%
Exactly 129.50%
Exactly 26.99%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 046.90%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.44%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.54%
Wins by 3+ goals2.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals27.51%
Wins by 3+ goals11.69%
Wins by 4+ goals4.06%
Wins by 5+ goals1.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.09%
Wins by 2 goals6.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.12%
Wins by 2 goals15.81%
Wins by 3 goals7.63%
Wins by 4 goals2.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.00%7.00%
1.574.37%25.63%
2.549.62%50.38%
3.527.68%72.32%
4.513.10%86.90%
5.55.35%94.65%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.06%35.94%
1.527.28%72.72%
2.58.46%91.54%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.51%19.49%
1.548.64%51.36%
2.522.58%77.42%
3.58.38%91.62%
4.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.80%29.20%
1.534.85%65.15%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Manchester United
Score012345
0
7.00%
11.45%
9.37%
5.11%
2.09%
0.68%
1
7.17%
11.72%
9.58%
5.22%
2.14%
0.70%
2
3.67%
6.00%
4.90%
2.67%
1.09%
0.36%
3
1.25%
2.05%
1.67%
0.91%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.32%
0.52%
0.43%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
Newcastle United
1-07.17%
2-03.67%
2-16.00%
3-01.25%
3-12.05%
3-21.67%
4-00.32%
4-10.52%
4-20.43%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.00%
1-111.72%
2-24.90%
3-30.91%
Manchester United
0-111.45%
0-29.37%
1-29.58%
0-35.11%
1-35.22%
2-32.67%
0-42.09%
1-42.14%
2-41.09%
3-40.37%
0-50.68%
1-50.70%
2-50.36%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Manchester United
Score01234
0
29.20%
22.11%
8.37%
2.11%
0.40%
1
13.84%
10.48%
3.97%
1.00%
0.19%
2
3.28%
2.48%
0.94%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.52%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-013.84%
2-03.28%
2-12.48%
3-00.52%
3-10.39%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.20%
1-110.48%
2-20.94%
Manchester United
0-122.11%
0-28.37%
1-23.97%
0-32.11%
1-31.00%
2-30.24%
0-40.40%
1-40.19%