Aston Villa at Crystal Palace

Updated

Aston Villa

29.3%27.3%43.4%
Aston Villa WinDrawCrystal Palace Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 5

Crystal Palace

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Liverpool+280
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+165
T 2-2 vs Chelsea+105
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-115
W 2-0 at Arsenal+1050
Crystal Palace
Money Line
W 3-1 at Wolverhampton+135
W 0-4 vs Manchester United+110
T 1-1 at Fulham+255
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United+200
W 2-5 vs West Ham United+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+155+379+370+375+365+375+379+391.2
Crystal Palace+160-155-165-153-160-153-153-140.9
Draw+270+347+360+357+345+357+360+372.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+260-+370+250+310+350+370+391.2
Crystal Palace-115--162-120-180-155-120-140.9
Draw+320-+352+320+315+350+352+372.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 50.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +370 to +360
Crystal Palace ML moved from -145 to -153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 40.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +360 to +330
Crystal Palace ML moved from -148 to -162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3½+115o3¼-112o3¼-107o3¼-111o3¼-107o3¼-107o3¼+101
Underu3½-122u3½-135u3¼-108u3¼-109u3¼-109u3¼-109u3½-135u3¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+110o3½+115o3½+100o3½-105o3½+105o3½+115o3¼+101
Underu3½-120u3½-130u3½-135u3½-120u3½-125u3½-125u3½-120u3¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-117 to u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.05%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 412.56%
Exactly 62.42%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.74%
Exactly 320.92%
Exactly 56.04%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 034.83%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.37%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 025.97%
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 310.61%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.87%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 061.37%
Exactly 129.97%
Exactly 27.32%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 053.57%
Exactly 133.44%
Exactly 210.44%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals11.06%
Wins by 3+ goals3.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals20.22%
Wins by 3+ goals7.34%
Wins by 4+ goals2.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal18.13%
Wins by 2 goals7.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal23.18%
Wins by 2 goals12.88%
Wins by 3 goals5.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.95%9.05%
1.569.22%30.78%
2.543.10%56.90%
3.522.19%77.81%
4.59.62%90.38%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.17%34.83%
1.528.43%71.57%
2.59.06%90.94%
3.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.03%25.97%
1.539.02%60.98%
2.515.41%84.59%
3.54.81%95.19%
4.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.13%32.87%
1.530.55%69.45%
2.510.21%89.79%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Score012345
0
9.05%
12.20%
8.22%
3.69%
1.25%
0.34%
1
9.54%
12.86%
8.67%
3.90%
1.31%
0.35%
2
5.03%
6.78%
4.57%
2.05%
0.69%
0.19%
3
1.77%
2.38%
1.61%
0.72%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.47%
0.63%
0.42%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
Aston Villa
1-09.54%
2-05.03%
2-16.78%
3-01.77%
3-12.38%
3-21.61%
4-00.47%
4-10.63%
4-20.42%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-09.05%
1-112.86%
2-24.57%
3-30.72%
Crystal Palace
0-112.20%
0-28.22%
1-28.67%
0-33.69%
1-33.90%
2-32.05%
0-41.25%
1-41.31%
2-40.69%
3-40.24%
0-50.34%
1-50.35%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Score01234
0
32.87%
20.52%
6.40%
1.33%
0.21%
1
16.05%
10.02%
3.13%
0.65%
0.10%
2
3.92%
2.45%
0.76%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.64%
0.40%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-016.05%
2-03.92%
2-12.45%
3-00.64%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.87%
1-110.02%
2-20.76%
Crystal Palace
0-120.52%
0-26.40%
1-23.13%
0-31.33%
1-30.65%
2-30.16%
0-40.21%
1-40.10%