Southampton at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Southampton

12.8%18.2%69.0%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.26
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 4-4 vs Liverpool+485
L 1-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+1100
L 2-0 vs Fulham+185
L 3-4 at Nottingham Forest+290
L 1-3 at Newcastle United+1050
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 4-2 at Brentford+125
L 2-3 at Manchester United+140
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-170
W 4-1 at Burnley+100
W 1-5 vs Sheffield United-460

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+684+635+575+665+633+665+665+691.3
Newcastle Utd-268-247-250-253-256-253-247-225.6
Draw+443+420+440+435+419+435+440+453.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+725-+670+650-+660+670+691.3
Newcastle Utd-300--284-330--280-280-225.6
Draw+460-+445+450-+450+450+453.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +625 to +575
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +775 to +650
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -275 to -284

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+107o3½+108o3¼-112o3¼-110o3¼-108o3¼-110o3¼-108o3¼-102
Underu3½-125u3½-127u3¼-108u3¼-106u3¼-106u3¼-106u3½-127u3¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+110o3½+110o3½+100o3½+100o3½+110o3½+110o3¼-102
Underu3½-130u3½-130u3½-130u3½-120u3½-130u3½-130u3½-120u3¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3½-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.41%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 417.45%
Exactly 65.67%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.76%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.89%
Exactly 72.53%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 042.23%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.69%
Exactly 34.51%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 010.43%
Exactly 123.58%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 320.08%
Exactly 411.34%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.56%
Exactly 224.62%
Exactly 44.29%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 311.86%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 067.09%
Exactly 126.78%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.12%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.23%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 41.75%
Exactly 50.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals3.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals45.53%
Wins by 3+ goals24.94%
Wins by 4+ goals11.44%
Wins by 5+ goals4.45%
Wins by 6+ goals1.47%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal8.91%
Wins by 2 goals2.99%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal23.37%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals13.51%
Wins by 4 goals6.99%
Wins by 5 goals2.97%
Wins by 6 goals1.07%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.59%4.41%
1.581.84%18.16%
2.560.36%39.64%
3.538.01%61.99%
4.520.57%79.43%
5.59.67%90.33%
6.54.00%96.00%
7.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.77%42.23%
1.521.37%78.63%
2.55.68%94.32%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.57%10.43%
1.565.98%34.02%
2.539.34%60.66%
3.519.26%80.74%
4.57.92%92.08%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.44%23.56%
1.542.38%57.62%
2.517.76%82.24%
3.55.90%94.10%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
4.41%
9.96%
11.25%
8.48%
4.79%
2.17%
1
3.80%
8.58%
9.70%
7.31%
4.13%
1.87%
2
1.64%
3.70%
4.18%
3.15%
1.78%
0.80%
3
0.47%
1.06%
1.20%
0.91%
0.51%
0.23%
4
0.10%
0.23%
0.26%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
Southampton
1-03.80%
2-01.64%
2-13.70%
3-00.47%
3-11.06%
3-21.20%
4-00.10%
4-10.23%
4-20.26%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-04.41%
1-18.58%
2-24.18%
3-30.91%
4-40.11%
Newcastle United
0-19.96%
0-211.25%
1-29.70%
0-38.48%
1-37.31%
2-33.15%
0-44.79%
1-44.13%
2-41.78%
3-40.51%
0-52.17%
1-51.87%
2-50.80%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
23.56%
24.66%
12.90%
4.50%
1.18%
0.25%
1
9.40%
9.84%
5.15%
1.80%
0.47%
0.10%
2
1.88%
1.96%
1.03%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.25%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-09.40%
2-01.88%
2-11.96%
3-00.25%
3-10.26%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-023.56%
1-19.84%
2-21.03%
Newcastle United
0-124.66%
0-212.90%
1-25.15%
0-34.50%
1-31.80%
2-30.36%
0-41.18%
1-40.47%
0-50.25%