Aston Villa at Everton

Updated

Aston Villa

26.9%23.0%50.2%
Aston Villa WinDrawEverton Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.81
1Final Score 0

Everton

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Manchester United+150
L 1-2 at Brentford+160
L 3-1 vs Chelsea+425
W 2-0 at Norwich City+110
L 0-1 at Liverpool+1200
Everton
Money Line
L 1-2 at Norwich City+125
L 3-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+197
T 1-1 at Chelsea+1400
L 1-3 at Crystal Palace+260
W 1-2 vs Arsenal+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+170+170+178+149+167+178+178+175.6
Everton+165+165+165+202+164+165+165+170.5
Draw+215+220+235+235+227+235+235+273.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+170-+165-+145+160+165+175.6
Everton+175-+162-+155+180+180+170.5
Draw+215-+241-+205+225+241+273.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Everton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +148 to +141
Everton ML moved from +171 to +164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Everton: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Everton: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +148 to +139
Everton ML moved from +170 to +162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-112o2½-112o2½-106-o2½-112o2½-106o2½-103
Underu2¼+102u2½-108u2½-108u2½-109-u2½-108u2½-108u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½-110-o2½-115o2½-105o2½+100o2½-103
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2½-110-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-110u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.25%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 415.39%
Exactly 63.95%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.32%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.54%
Exactly 71.56%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 038.01%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Everton
Exactly 016.44%
Exactly 129.68%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.13%
Exactly 47.28%
Exactly 52.63%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.70%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 39.77%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 063.90%
Exactly 128.62%
Exactly 26.41%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton
Exactly 043.34%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.15%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals6.82%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Everton
Wins by 2+ goals32.56%
Wins by 3+ goals14.99%
Wins by 4+ goals5.67%
Wins by 5+ goals1.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Everton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal13.10%
Wins by 2 goals5.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Everton
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals17.57%
Wins by 3 goals9.32%
Wins by 4 goals3.89%
Wins by 5 goals1.33%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.75%6.25%
1.576.43%23.57%
2.552.41%47.59%
3.530.21%69.79%
4.514.81%85.19%
5.56.28%93.72%
6.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.99%38.01%
1.525.23%74.77%
2.57.44%92.56%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Everton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.56%16.44%
1.553.88%46.12%
2.527.09%72.91%
3.510.96%89.04%
4.53.68%96.32%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.30%27.70%
1.536.75%63.25%
2.513.92%86.08%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Everton
Score012345
0
6.25%
11.28%
10.18%
6.13%
2.77%
1.00%
1
6.04%
10.91%
9.85%
5.93%
2.68%
0.97%
2
2.92%
5.28%
4.77%
2.87%
1.29%
0.47%
3
0.94%
1.70%
1.54%
0.92%
0.42%
0.15%
4
0.23%
0.41%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Aston Villa
1-06.04%
2-02.92%
2-15.28%
3-00.94%
3-11.70%
3-21.54%
4-00.23%
4-10.41%
4-20.37%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.25%
1-110.91%
2-24.77%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Everton
0-111.28%
0-210.18%
1-29.85%
0-36.13%
1-35.93%
2-32.87%
0-42.77%
1-42.68%
2-41.29%
3-40.42%
0-51.00%
1-50.97%
2-50.47%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Everton
Score01234
0
27.70%
23.15%
9.68%
2.70%
0.56%
1
12.41%
10.37%
4.33%
1.21%
0.25%
2
2.78%
2.32%
0.97%
0.27%
0.06%
3
0.41%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-012.41%
2-02.78%
2-12.32%
3-00.41%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.70%
1-110.37%
2-20.97%
Everton
0-123.15%
0-29.68%
1-24.33%
0-32.70%
1-31.21%
2-30.27%
0-40.56%
1-40.25%