Arsenal at Brighton

Updated

Arsenal

43.1%27.6%29.2%
Arsenal WinDrawBrighton Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.03
4Final Score 2

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-185
W 2-0 at Wolverhampton-180
W 1-0 at Chelsea+160
W 0-5 vs Nottingham Forest-450
T 1-1 at Southampton-215
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 3-1 at Southampton+115
L 2-1 vs Aston Villa-134
W 3-2 at Wolverhampton+115
W 1-4 vs Chelsea+205
L 1-3 at Manchester City+1225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+100-116-120-115-113-115-113-108.1
Brighton+255+332+310+330+338+330+338+347.3
Draw+265+269+275+275+281+275+281+289.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+115--112--130-115-112-108.1
Brighton+235-+320-+275+320+320+347.3
Draw+250-+250-+240+260+260+289.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +102 to -100
Brighton ML moved from +323 to +316

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -110 to -117
Brighton ML moved from +320 to +310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-120o2½-115o2½-114o2½-114o2½-114o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2¾-118u2½+102u2½-105u2½-102u2½-106u2½-102u2½+102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½+100o2½-102-o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100o2½-104
Underu2½+100u2½-120u2½-118-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-110u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.51%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.14%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.38%
Exactly 320.64%
Exactly 55.71%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 026.75%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 310.22%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 035.56%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.65%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 054.30%
Exactly 133.16%
Exactly 210.12%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 061.96%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals19.81%
Wins by 3+ goals7.08%
Wins by 4+ goals2.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals10.92%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.28%
Wins by 2 goals12.73%
Wins by 3 goals5.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal18.25%
Wins by 2 goals7.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.49%9.51%
1.568.11%31.89%
2.541.79%58.21%
3.521.14%78.86%
4.59.00%91.00%
5.53.29%96.71%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.25%26.75%
1.537.98%62.02%
2.514.72%85.28%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.44%35.56%
1.527.67%72.33%
2.58.66%91.34%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.35%33.65%
1.529.70%70.30%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
9.51%
9.83%
5.08%
1.75%
0.45%
1
12.54%
12.97%
6.70%
2.31%
0.60%
2
8.27%
8.55%
4.42%
1.52%
0.39%
3
3.64%
3.76%
1.94%
0.67%
0.17%
4
1.20%
1.24%
0.64%
0.22%
0.06%
5
0.32%
0.33%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Arsenal
1-012.54%
2-08.27%
2-18.55%
3-03.64%
3-13.76%
3-21.94%
4-01.20%
4-11.24%
4-20.64%
4-30.22%
5-00.32%
5-10.33%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-09.51%
1-112.97%
2-24.42%
3-30.67%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-19.83%
0-25.08%
1-26.70%
0-31.75%
1-32.31%
2-31.52%
0-40.45%
1-40.60%
2-40.39%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
33.65%
16.11%
3.85%
0.62%
1
20.54%
9.83%
2.35%
0.38%
2
6.27%
3.00%
0.72%
0.11%
3
1.28%
0.61%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-020.54%
2-06.27%
2-13.00%
3-01.28%
3-10.61%
3-20.15%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-033.65%
1-19.83%
2-20.72%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-116.11%
0-23.85%
1-22.35%
0-30.62%
1-30.38%
2-30.11%