Brighton at Watford

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

35.9%30.5%33.6%
Brighton WinDrawWatford Win
1.05Projected Goals 0.99
2Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 at Leicester City+180
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+535
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace+105
W 3-2 at Everton+175
T 1-1 at Chelsea+1000
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at West Ham United+588
T 0-0 at Burnley+265
L 3-0 vs Norwich City+100
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+340
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+473

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+120-105+100-101-101+100+100+106.5
Watford+250+310+320+331+279+320+331+328.5
Draw+210+235+240+249+240+240+249+254.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+100-+109-+100+105+109+106.5
Watford+240-+276-+240+290+290+328.5
Draw+200-+224-+200+225+225+254.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +100 to -105
Watford ML moved from +262 to +238

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +120 to +105
Watford ML moved from +275 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼-101o2-138-o2¼-101o2-138o2-133
Underu2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-115u2+123-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-135o2-135o2-140-o2-135o2-135o2-135o2-133
Underu2+105u2+115u2+120-u2+105u2+115u2+120u2+133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.04%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.36%
Exactly 61.29%
 
Exactly 126.56%
Exactly 318.37%
Exactly 53.81%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 034.94%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 36.77%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 037.33%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.94%
Exactly 217.32%
Exactly 41.28%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 061.45%
Exactly 129.92%
Exactly 27.28%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 063.36%
Exactly 128.91%
Exactly 26.60%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals14.24%
Wins by 3+ goals4.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals12.22%
Wins by 3+ goals3.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal22.16%
Wins by 2 goals10.05%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal20.76%
Wins by 2 goals8.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.96%13.04%
1.560.40%39.60%
2.533.34%66.66%
3.514.96%85.04%
4.55.61%94.39%
5.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.06%34.94%
1.528.32%71.68%
2.59.00%91.00%
3.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.67%37.33%
1.525.89%74.11%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.06%38.94%
1.524.34%75.66%
2.57.02%92.98%
3.51.57%98.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Watford
Score01234
0
13.04%
12.85%
6.33%
2.08%
0.51%
1
13.71%
13.51%
6.66%
2.19%
0.54%
2
7.21%
7.11%
3.50%
1.15%
0.28%
3
2.53%
2.49%
1.23%
0.40%
0.10%
4
0.66%
0.65%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.14%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-013.71%
2-07.21%
2-17.11%
3-02.53%
3-12.49%
3-21.23%
4-00.66%
4-10.65%
4-20.32%
4-30.11%
5-00.14%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-013.04%
1-113.51%
2-23.50%
3-30.40%
Watford
0-112.85%
0-26.33%
1-26.66%
0-32.08%
1-32.19%
2-31.15%
0-40.51%
1-40.54%
2-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Watford
Score0123
0
38.94%
17.77%
4.05%
0.62%
1
18.96%
8.65%
1.97%
0.30%
2
4.62%
2.11%
0.48%
0.07%
3
0.75%
0.34%
0.08%
0.01%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-018.96%
2-04.62%
2-12.11%
3-00.75%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-038.94%
1-18.65%
2-20.48%
Watford
0-117.77%
0-24.05%
1-21.97%
0-30.62%
1-30.30%